At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
261.6
▲ L5 277.6
Pass TD/g
1.60
▼ L5 1.00
Comp/g
23.5
▲ L5 27.2
Att/g
34.3
▲ L5 42.0
INT/g
0.80
▼ L5 0.60
Rush yds/g
28.6
▲ L5 43.4
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 87% | 100% | 100% | 75% |
| 224.5 | 87% | 100% | 100% | 75% |
| 249.5 | 60% | 60% | 57% | 63% |
| 274.5 | 27% | 20% | 29% | 25% |
| 299.5 | 20% | 20% | 29% | 13% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 73% | 80% | 71% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 20% | 29% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 29% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 93% | 100% | 100% | 88% |
| 19.5 | 87% | 100% | 100% | 75% |
| 21.5 | 67% | 100% | 86% | 50% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 80% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 40% | 80% | 57% | 25% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 53% | 40% | 57% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 20% | 43% | 13% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
-3.6
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
291.7
7 g
Away
235.3
8 g
In wins
265.3
9 g
In losses
256.0
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ LA | L 11-34 | -4 | 49.5 | 19 | 34 | 137 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 279 | -22.0 |
| 1 | @ TEN | W 38-13 | -2.5 | 54 | 21 | 32 | 289 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 262 | 11.8 |
| 2 | vs MIN | W 34-33 | +4 | 51 | 29 | 36 | 400 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 296 | 4.6 |
| 3 | @ JAX | W 31-19 | +8 | 51.5 | 28 | 34 | 316 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 11.9 |
| 4 | @ LA | W 37-20 | -3.5 | 53.5 | 24 | 32 | 268 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 230 | 13.9 |
| 5 | vs SF | W 17-10 | +6 | 48.5 | 22 | 31 | 239 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 230 | 4.4 |
| 6 | @ CLE | W 37-14 | -3 | 48 | 20 | 30 | 229 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 264 | 14.6 |
| 7 | vs HOU | W 31-5 | +20.5 | 47 | 20 | 28 | 261 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 253 | 8.6 |
| 8 | vs GB | L 21-24 | +6.5 | 51 | 22 | 33 | 274 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 304 | 0.6 |
| 13 | @ CHI | W 33-22 | +7.5 | 43.5 | 11 | 15 | 123 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 7.7 |
| 14 | vs LA | L 23-30 | +3 | 51 | 32 | 49 | 383 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 505 | -1.3 |
| 15 | @ DET | L 12-30 | +13 | 48 | 23 | 41 | 257 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 296 | -13.4 |
| 16 | vs IND | L 16-22 | +3 | 48 | 27 | 43 | 245 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 272 | -3.8 |
| 17 | @ DAL | W 25-22 | -6.5 | 53 | 26 | 38 | 263 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 339 | 10.4 |
| 18 | vs SEA | L 30-38 | +5.5 | 48 | 28 | 39 | 240 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 252 | -3.6 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).