Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave

Green Bay Packers · TE · Rookie

6-6253 lbOregon StateDraft R2 P11 (2023)

At a glance

Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.

Rec yds/g

32.2

L5 32.6

Rec/g

3.1

L5 2.4

Tgt/g

4.1

L5 3.6

Rec TD/g

0.15

L5 0.20

Prop hit rates

How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.

Receiving yards

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
39.538%40%33%43%
49.531%40%17%43%
59.58%20%0%14%
69.50%0%0%0%
79.50%0%0%0%
89.50%0%0%0%

Receptions

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
2.562%40%50%71%
3.531%20%33%29%
4.515%0%17%14%
5.515%0%17%14%
6.50%0%0%0%
7.50%0%0%0%

Targets

% of games over

OverSeasonL5HomeAway
4.531%20%33%29%
6.515%0%17%14%
8.50%0%0%0%
10.50%0%0%0%

Receiving yards · game by game

Usage & efficiency

Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.

Target share

3%

Air-yards share

3%

Rec EPA/game

0.8

Splits

Receiving yards per game.

Home

24.8

6 g

Away

38.4

7 g

In wins

40.2

6 g

In losses

25.3

7 g

Game log

Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.

WkOppResultSpreadTotalTgtRecYdsTDAirYdYACTgt%
19*@ DALW 48-32-752.533521302214%
20*@ SFL 21-24-10.550.54314029712%
1@ CHIW 38-20-1414350072915%
2@ ATLL 24-25-340.532250241812%
3vs NOW 18-17-1.541.586490762419%
4vs DETL 20-34-2.5451110-453%
5@ LVL 13-17-1457634093424%
7@ DENL 17-19-1.54454300181616%
8vs MINL 10-24-141.532901248%
9vs LAW 20-3+3.53843511312616%
10@ PITL 19-23-338.542640681311%
11vs LACW 23-20-34464280321516%
18vs CHIW 17-9+2.545.511110653%

* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).