At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
40.7
▲ L5 51.4
Rec/g
3.4
▼ L5 3.2
Tgt/g
4.6
■ L5 4.6
Rec TD/g
0.15
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 45% | 60% | 42% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 40% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| 59.5 | 20% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| 69.5 | 10% | 20% | 8% | 13% |
| 79.5 | 5% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| 89.5 | 5% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 20% | 25% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| 5.5 | 10% | 20% | 8% | 13% |
| 6.5 | 10% | 20% | 8% | 13% |
| 7.5 | 10% | 20% | 8% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 20% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 10% | 20% | 8% | 13% |
| 10.5 | 10% | 20% | 8% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
26%
Air-yards share
19%
Rec EPA/game
4.0
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
38.3
12 g
Away
44.4
8 g
In wins
36.9
14 g
In losses
49.5
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PIT | W 42-21 | +13 | 46 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 11% |
| 20* | vs BUF | W 42-36 | +2.5 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 2% |
| 21* | vs CIN | L 24-27 | +7 | 54.5 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 1 | 40 | 16 | 11% |
| 1 | vs CLE | W 33-29 | +5.5 | 54.5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9% |
| 2 | @ BAL | L 35-36 | +3.5 | 53.5 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 132 | 14 | 27% |
| 3 | vs LAC | L 24-30 | +6.5 | 55 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 1 | -3 | 44 | 10% |
| 4 | @ PHI | W 42-30 | +7.5 | 53.5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 10% |
| 5 | vs BUF | L 20-38 | +2.5 | 57 | 12 | 9 | 76 | 0 | 74 | 23 | 24% |
| 6 | @ WAS | W 31-13 | +6 | 54 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 56 | 37 | 11% |
| 7 | @ TEN | L 3-27 | +4 | 57.5 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 10% |
| 8 | vs NYG | W 20-17 | +10.5 | 53 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 41 | 67 | 16% |
| 9 | vs GB | W 13-7 | +7 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 47 | 25 | 17% |
| 10 | @ LV | W 41-14 | +2.5 | 53.5 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 35 | 27 | 6% |
| 11 | vs DAL | W 19-9 | +2.5 | 56 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 9% |
| 13 | vs DEN | W 22-9 | +8.5 | 46.5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | -4 | 16 | 4% |
| 14 | vs LV | W 48-9 | +10 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 59 | 0 | 44 | 15 | 9% |
| 15 | @ LAC | W 34-28 | +3 | 54 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 43 | 4 | 9% |
| 16 | vs PIT | W 36-10 | +10.5 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 1 | 37 | 34 | 17% |
| 17 | @ CIN | L 31-34 | +3.5 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 53 | 0 | 35 | 18 | 3% |
| 18 | @ DEN | W 28-24 | +11.5 | 44.5 | 11 | 8 | 103 | 0 | 47 | 99 | 26% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).