At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
51.5
▼ L5 25.6
Rec/g
3.0
▼ L5 2.4
Tgt/g
5.1
▲ L5 5.4
Rec TD/g
0.18
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 36% | 20% | 17% | 60% |
| 49.5 | 36% | 20% | 17% | 60% |
| 59.5 | 27% | 20% | 17% | 40% |
| 69.5 | 27% | 20% | 17% | 40% |
| 79.5 | 27% | 20% | 17% | 40% |
| 89.5 | 18% | 0% | 17% | 20% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 55% | 40% | 33% | 80% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 20% | 17% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 20% | 17% | 40% |
| 5.5 | 27% | 20% | 17% | 40% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| 7.5 | 9% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 64% | 60% | 50% | 80% |
| 6.5 | 27% | 40% | 17% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 9% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 10.5 | 9% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
6%
Air-yards share
10%
Rec EPA/game
-0.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
39.3
6 g
Away
66.2
5 g
In wins
64.6
7 g
In losses
28.8
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs CLE | W 45-14 | -2.5 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5% |
| 1 | @ BAL | L 9-25 | -9.5 | 43.5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | -13 | 28 | 9% |
| 6 | vs NO | W 20-13 | -2 | 42.5 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 42 | 22 | 21% |
| 8 | @ CAR | L 13-15 | +3 | 43 | 5 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 50 | 18 | 21% |
| 9 | vs TB | W 39-37 | +2.5 | 39.5 | 6 | 6 | 153 | 1 | 75 | 78 | 16% |
| 10 | @ CIN | W 30-27 | -5.5 | 46 | 8 | 7 | 172 | 0 | 132 | 45 | 21% |
| 13 | vs DEN | W 22-17 | +3.5 | 47.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 7% |
| 14 | @ NYJ | L 6-30 | +3.5 | 33.5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 0 | 19% |
| 15 | @ TEN | W 19-16 | -3 | 38 | 11 | 8 | 82 | 1 | 120 | 19 | 32% |
| 16 | vs CLE | L 22-36 | -3 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 92 | 11 | 15% |
| 17 | vs TEN | W 26-3 | +5 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 6% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).