At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
37.4
▲ L5 38.2
Rec/g
2.4
▼ L5 2.2
Tgt/g
4.4
▼ L5 4.4
Rec TD/g
0.19
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 31% | 20% | 56% | 0% |
| 49.5 | 19% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| 59.5 | 13% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
| 69.5 | 13% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
| 79.5 | 13% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 13% | 20% | 22% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 44% | 40% | 56% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 20% | 44% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 5.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 38% | 40% | 56% | 14% |
| 6.5 | 25% | 20% | 44% | 0% |
| 8.5 | 6% | 20% | 11% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
5%
Air-yards share
13%
Rec EPA/game
3.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
51.3
9 g
Away
19.6
7 g
In wins
40.3
13 g
In losses
25.0
3 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs HOU | W 34-10 | +10 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 5% |
| 21* | vs KC | L 10-17 | +4.5 | 44 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 99 | 2 | 18% |
| 1 | vs HOU | W 25-9 | +9.5 | 43.5 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 14% |
| 2 | @ CIN | W 27-24 | -3.5 | 45.5 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 39 | 7 | 12% |
| 5 | @ PIT | L 10-17 | +4.5 | 38.5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 47 | 2 | 11% |
| 6 | @ TEN | W 24-16 | +5.5 | 42.5 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 27 | 25 | 14% |
| 7 | vs DET | W 38-6 | +3 | 43.5 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 83 | 7 | 25% |
| 8 | @ ARI | W 31-24 | +9.5 | 44.5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 15% |
| 9 | vs SEA | W 37-3 | +6 | 44.5 | 7 | 5 | 56 | 1 | 59 | 14 | 22% |
| 10 | vs CLE | L 31-33 | +6 | 38.5 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 9% |
| 11 | vs CIN | W 34-20 | +4 | 46.5 | 7 | 4 | 116 | 0 | 159 | 49 | 30% |
| 12 | @ LAC | W 20-10 | +3 | 49 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 56 | 11 | 17% |
| 14 | vs LA | W 37-31 | +7.5 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 97 | 1 | 218 | 2 | 25% |
| 15 | @ JAX | W 23-7 | +4 | 42.5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 13% |
| 16 | @ SF | W 33-19 | -6.5 | 47.5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 9% |
| 17 | vs MIA | W 56-19 | +3 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 5% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).