At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
60.0
▲ L5 82.2
Rec/g
5.3
▲ L5 7.0
Tgt/g
6.8
▲ L5 9.2
Rec TD/g
0.40
■ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 70% | 100% | 73% | 67% |
| 49.5 | 55% | 100% | 64% | 44% |
| 59.5 | 40% | 80% | 45% | 33% |
| 69.5 | 30% | 60% | 36% | 22% |
| 79.5 | 20% | 40% | 18% | 22% |
| 89.5 | 20% | 40% | 18% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 90% | 100% | 91% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 80% | 100% | 82% | 78% |
| 4.5 | 55% | 100% | 64% | 44% |
| 5.5 | 40% | 80% | 36% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 30% | 60% | 18% | 44% |
| 7.5 | 25% | 40% | 9% | 44% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 80% | 100% | 82% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 45% | 80% | 45% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 80% | 27% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 10% | 20% | 18% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
21%
Air-yards share
28%
Rec EPA/game
7.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
64.0
11 g
Away
55.1
9 g
In wins
62.9
14 g
In losses
53.3
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs MIA | W 26-7 | +4.5 | 43.5 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 1 | 67 | 75 | 35% |
| 20* | @ BUF | W 27-24 | -2.5 | 45.5 | 4 | 4 | 47 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 19% |
| 21* | @ BAL | W 17-10 | -4.5 | 44 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 0 | 41 | 46 | 25% |
| 22* | vs SF | W 25-22 | -1.5 | 47 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 19% |
| 1 | vs DET | L 20-21 | +4 | 53 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 1 | 38 | 15 | 14% |
| 2 | @ JAX | W 17-9 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 5% |
| 3 | vs CHI | W 41-10 | +13 | 48 | 7 | 5 | 59 | 0 | 45 | 31 | 19% |
| 4 | @ NYJ | W 23-20 | +9.5 | 41.5 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 17 | 20 | 17% |
| 5 | @ MIN | W 27-20 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 1 | 23 | 18 | 13% |
| 6 | vs DEN | W 19-8 | +10.5 | 47.5 | 4 | 4 | 72 | 0 | 17 | 55 | 10% |
| 7 | vs LAC | W 31-17 | +5.5 | 48.5 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 1 | 39 | 47 | 15% |
| 8 | @ DEN | L 9-24 | +7 | 45.5 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 0 | 17 | 54 | 14% |
| 9 | vs MIA | W 21-14 | +1 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7% |
| 11 | vs PHI | L 17-21 | +2.5 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 19 | 28 | 13% |
| 12 | @ LV | W 31-17 | +9 | 42.5 | 10 | 8 | 107 | 1 | 43 | 69 | 31% |
| 13 | @ GB | L 19-27 | +5.5 | 43.5 | 9 | 8 | 64 | 0 | 9 | 62 | 30% |
| 14 | vs BUF | L 17-20 | +2 | 49.5 | 10 | 7 | 72 | 1 | 47 | 45 | 26% |
| 15 | @ NE | W 27-17 | +10 | 39.5 | 9 | 9 | 91 | 1 | 31 | 60 | 26% |
| 16 | vs LV | L 14-20 | +11 | 40.5 | 12 | 6 | 57 | 0 | 88 | 38 | 29% |
| 17 | vs CIN | W 25-17 | +7.5 | 46 | 6 | 5 | 127 | 0 | 44 | 89 | 21% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).