At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
40.0
▲ L5 53.6
Rec/g
3.1
▲ L5 4.0
Tgt/g
4.6
▲ L5 5.6
Rec TD/g
0.30
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 30% | 40% | 17% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 30% | 40% | 17% | 50% |
| 59.5 | 30% | 40% | 17% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 20% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 10% | 20% | 17% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 10% | 20% | 17% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 60% | 33% | 75% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 40% | 17% | 25% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 40% | 17% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 10% | 20% | 17% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 10% | 20% | 17% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 20% | 40% | 17% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 10% | 20% | 17% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
19%
Air-yards share
22%
Rec EPA/game
3.5
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
36.8
6 g
Away
44.8
4 g
In wins
38.7
3 g
In losses
40.6
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | vs KC | L 18-28 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 43 | 7 | 16% |
| 8 | vs DAL | W 30-24 | +5.5 | 48 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 16% |
| 10 | @ TB | W 23-20 | +6.5 | 50.5 | 6 | 4 | 73 | 1 | 62 | 35 | 18% |
| 11 | vs SEA | L 17-20 | +6 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 7% |
| 13 | @ BUF | L 10-35 | -6.5 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6% |
| 14 | vs CHI | W 38-13 | +3 | 43.5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 8% |
| 15 | vs LA | L 6-12 | +3 | 48.5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 78 | 3 | 13% |
| 16 | @ MIA | L 17-29 | +2 | 44 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 26 | 11 | 11% |
| 17 | vs DET | L 34-40 | -4 | 50.5 | 10 | 8 | 141 | 1 | 134 | 37 | 28% |
| 18 | @ ARI | L 24-47 | -4.5 | 42.5 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 1 | 74 | 14 | 19% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).