At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
61.8
▲ L5 76.8
Rec/g
5.0
▲ L5 6.0
Tgt/g
7.7
▲ L5 8.8
Rec TD/g
0.44
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 56% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 44% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| 59.5 | 44% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 33% | 60% | 40% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 22% | 40% | 20% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 22% | 40% | 20% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 89% | 80% | 100% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 33% | 60% | 40% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 22% | 40% | 20% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 89% | 100% | 80% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 44% | 60% | 20% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 60% | 20% | 75% |
| 10.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
21%
Air-yards share
24%
Rec EPA/game
-3.0
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
55.2
5 g
Away
70.0
4 g
In wins
58.6
7 g
In losses
73.0
2 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs CHI | W 34-14 | +9.5 | 46 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15% |
| 2 | @ IND | W 27-24 | +4 | 48 | 9 | 5 | 64 | 0 | 95 | 18 | 31% |
| 3 | vs TB | W 34-24 | -1 | 55 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 59 | 8 | 16% |
| 4 | vs ARI | L 20-37 | +3.5 | 53.5 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 10 | 15% |
| 5 | @ SEA | W 26-17 | +2.5 | 53.5 | 14 | 12 | 150 | 0 | 142 | 47 | 40% |
| 6 | @ NYG | W 38-11 | +7.5 | 49.5 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 1 | 46 | 13 | 17% |
| 7 | vs DET | W 28-19 | +17 | 51 | 6 | 6 | 70 | 0 | 35 | 35 | 15% |
| 8 | @ HOU | W 38-22 | +17 | 47 | 9 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 43 | 20 | 26% |
| 9 | vs TEN | L 16-28 | +7 | 53.5 | 10 | 7 | 98 | 0 | 58 | 39 | 21% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).