At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
53.3
▼ L5 42.0
Rec/g
5.3
▼ L5 4.4
Tgt/g
7.3
▼ L5 6.8
Rec TD/g
0.55
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 65% | 40% | 70% | 60% |
| 49.5 | 50% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| 59.5 | 30% | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| 69.5 | 20% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| 79.5 | 20% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| 89.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 95% | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| 3.5 | 75% | 60% | 70% | 80% |
| 4.5 | 60% | 60% | 70% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| 6.5 | 30% | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 25% | 0% | 30% | 20% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 85% | 80% | 80% | 90% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 20% | 20% | 30% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
23%
Air-yards share
7%
Rec EPA/game
-0.7
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
48.0
10 g
Away
58.5
10 g
In wins
49.9
14 g
In losses
61.0
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LA | W 24-23 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12% |
| 20* | vs TB | W 31-23 | +6 | 49.5 | 11 | 9 | 65 | 0 | 54 | 32 | 26% |
| 21* | @ SF | L 31-34 | -7.5 | 52.5 | 13 | 9 | 97 | 0 | 112 | 53 | 33% |
| 1 | @ KC | W 21-20 | -4 | 53 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 20 | 19 | 16% |
| 2 | vs SEA | L 31-37 | +4.5 | 47.5 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 32 | 36 | 18% |
| 3 | vs ATL | W 20-6 | +3 | 47.5 | 11 | 8 | 84 | 1 | 87 | 21 | 35% |
| 4 | @ GB | W 34-20 | +2.5 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 0 | 35 | 32 | 19% |
| 5 | vs CAR | W 42-24 | +9.5 | 43.5 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 2 | 43 | 23 | 15% |
| 6 | @ TB | W 20-6 | +3 | 43.5 | 11 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 101 | 12 | 27% |
| 7 | @ BAL | L 6-38 | -3 | 43.5 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 14% |
| 8 | vs LV | W 26-14 | +7 | 46 | 10 | 8 | 57 | 1 | 49 | 31 | 29% |
| 10 | @ LAC | W 41-38 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 47 | 7 | 16% |
| 11 | vs CHI | W 31-26 | +8 | 48 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 16% |
| 12 | vs GB | L 22-29 | +8.5 | 47 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 1 | 64 | 18 | 19% |
| 13 | @ NO | W 33-28 | +4 | 47.5 | 9 | 9 | 140 | 1 | 83 | 57 | 36% |
| 14 | @ CHI | L 13-28 | +3 | 44.5 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 18% |
| 15 | vs DEN | W 42-17 | +5.5 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 3 | 45 | 26 | 19% |
| 16 | @ MIN | W 30-24 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8% |
| 17 | @ DAL | L 19-20 | -5.5 | 53 | 12 | 7 | 84 | 0 | 79 | 29 | 38% |
| 18 | vs MIN | W 30-20 | +3.5 | 47.5 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 17 | 16 | 23% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).