At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
70.9
▲ L5 77.0
Rec/g
4.7
▲ L5 5.6
Tgt/g
7.5
▲ L5 9.4
Rec TD/g
0.70
▲ L5 1.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 70% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 49.5 | 70% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 59.5 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| 69.5 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| 79.5 | 30% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| 89.5 | 30% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 90% | 100% | 80% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 40% |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 20% |
| 6.5 | 20% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 10% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 40% |
| 6.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 20% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
22%
Air-yards share
36%
Rec EPA/game
1.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
80.2
5 g
Away
61.6
5 g
In wins
96.0
5 g
In losses
45.8
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ BAL | L 9-25 | -9.5 | 43.5 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 9% |
| 2 | vs IND | L 20-31 | -1 | 40 | 10 | 7 | 72 | 1 | 95 | 20 | 23% |
| 3 | @ JAX | W 37-17 | -7.5 | 43.5 | 7 | 5 | 145 | 1 | 136 | 48 | 24% |
| 4 | vs PIT | W 30-6 | -3 | 41.5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 31 | 13 | 11% |
| 5 | @ ATL | L 19-21 | -2.5 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 65 | 9 | 13% |
| 8 | @ CAR | L 13-15 | +3 | 43 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 17% |
| 9 | vs TB | W 39-37 | +2.5 | 39.5 | 11 | 6 | 114 | 2 | 222 | 9 | 29% |
| 10 | @ CIN | W 30-27 | -5.5 | 46 | 14 | 6 | 56 | 1 | 182 | 12 | 36% |
| 11 | vs ARI | W 21-16 | +5.5 | 48 | 10 | 8 | 149 | 1 | 159 | 17 | 26% |
| 12 | vs JAX | L 21-24 | -1 | 48 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 1 | 125 | 6 | 22% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).