At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
66.2
▼ L5 54.6
Rec/g
4.8
▲ L5 5.8
Tgt/g
7.0
▲ L5 8.6
Rec TD/g
0.80
▲ L5 1.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 75% | 80% | 78% | 73% |
| 49.5 | 75% | 80% | 78% | 73% |
| 59.5 | 60% | 80% | 78% | 45% |
| 69.5 | 50% | 40% | 67% | 36% |
| 79.5 | 40% | 0% | 56% | 27% |
| 89.5 | 30% | 0% | 56% | 9% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 89% | 73% |
| 3.5 | 75% | 80% | 89% | 64% |
| 4.5 | 60% | 80% | 78% | 45% |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | 33% | 45% |
| 6.5 | 25% | 60% | 11% | 36% |
| 7.5 | 10% | 40% | 11% | 9% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 85% | 100% | 100% | 73% |
| 6.5 | 55% | 80% | 56% | 55% |
| 8.5 | 20% | 40% | 0% | 36% |
| 10.5 | 5% | 20% | 0% | 9% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
40%
Air-yards share
38%
Rec EPA/game
3.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
78.9
9 g
Away
55.7
11 g
In wins
69.8
14 g
In losses
57.7
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ TB | W 23-20 | -3 | 51.5 | 10 | 7 | 89 | 1 | 114 | 16 | 31% |
| 20* | @ DET | W 45-31 | -8.5 | 55.5 | 6 | 4 | 87 | 1 | 4 | 81 | 21% |
| 21* | @ PHI | L 23-55 | -6 | 46.5 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 1 | 91 | 33 | 15% |
| 1 | @ TB | L 20-37 | -4 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 80 | 14 | 17% |
| 2 | vs NYG | W 21-18 | +1.5 | 42.5 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 31 | 11 | 28% |
| 3 | @ CIN | W 38-33 | -7.5 | 46 | 6 | 4 | 100 | 1 | 148 | 11 | 26% |
| 4 | @ ARI | W 42-14 | -3.5 | 49 | 10 | 7 | 52 | 1 | 103 | 6 | 33% |
| 5 | vs CLE | W 34-13 | +3 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 112 | 0 | 171 | 29 | 30% |
| 6 | @ BAL | L 23-30 | -6.5 | 51.5 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 2 | 81 | 1 | 21% |
| 7 | vs CAR | W 40-7 | +10 | 51 | 6 | 6 | 98 | 0 | 75 | 23 | 24% |
| 8 | vs CHI | W 18-15 | +1.5 | 46.5 | 8 | 5 | 125 | 0 | 176 | 21 | 24% |
| 9 | @ NYG | W 27-22 | +4.5 | 44.5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 16% |
| 10 | vs PIT | L 27-28 | +1.5 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 113 | 0 | 66 | 54 | 19% |
| 11 | @ PHI | L 18-26 | -4.5 | 49.5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 6% |
| 12 | vs DAL | L 26-34 | +10.5 | 45 | 6 | 5 | 102 | 1 | 82 | 59 | 18% |
| 13 | vs TEN | W 42-19 | +6 | 45 | 8 | 8 | 73 | 2 | 55 | 18 | 27% |
| 15 | @ NO | W 20-19 | +7.5 | 44.5 | 10 | 7 | 73 | 2 | 179 | 15 | 32% |
| 16 | vs PHI | W 36-33 | -4 | 47 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 1 | 61 | 17 | 17% |
| 17 | vs ATL | W 30-24 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 88 | 0 | 20% |
| 18 | @ DAL | W 23-19 | +7 | 43.5 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 1 | 116 | 13 | 40% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).