At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
58.9
▲ L5 61.6
Rec/g
4.6
▼ L5 3.8
Tgt/g
7.8
▼ L5 7.0
Rec TD/g
0.24
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 82% | 80% | 75% | 89% |
| 49.5 | 65% | 80% | 38% | 89% |
| 59.5 | 41% | 40% | 25% | 56% |
| 69.5 | 29% | 20% | 0% | 56% |
| 79.5 | 24% | 20% | 0% | 44% |
| 89.5 | 12% | 20% | 0% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 88% | 80% | 75% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 82% | 60% | 75% | 89% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 40% | 50% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 40% | 25% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 80% | 75% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 65% | 60% | 50% | 78% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 20% | 13% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 20% | 13% | 33% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
29%
Air-yards share
40%
Rec EPA/game
-2.4
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
43.0
8 g
Away
73.1
9 g
In wins
59.8
4 g
In losses
58.7
13 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs ARI | W 20-16 | +7 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 44 | 11 | 14% |
| 2 | @ DEN | W 35-33 | -4 | 38.5 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 1 | 63 | 8 | 18% |
| 3 | vs BUF | L 3-37 | -5.5 | 44 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 21% |
| 4 | @ PHI | L 31-34 | -9.5 | 43 | 10 | 8 | 86 | 0 | 121 | 33 | 26% |
| 5 | vs CHI | L 20-40 | +6 | 45.5 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 78 | 13 | 10% |
| 6 | @ ATL | W 24-16 | -1.5 | 42 | 11 | 6 | 81 | 0 | 107 | 32 | 52% |
| 7 | @ NYG | L 7-14 | +3 | 37 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 0 | 115 | 18 | 25% |
| 8 | vs PHI | L 31-38 | -7 | 42.5 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 1 | 126 | 8 | 24% |
| 9 | @ NE | W 20-17 | -2.5 | 40.5 | 8 | 5 | 73 | 0 | 65 | 45 | 18% |
| 10 | @ SEA | L 26-29 | -6 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 67 | 13 | 19% |
| 11 | vs NYG | L 19-31 | +7.5 | 39 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 77 | 12 | 17% |
| 12 | @ DAL | L 10-45 | -13 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 149 | 10 | 25% |
| 13 | vs MIA | L 15-45 | -8.5 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 14% |
| 15 | @ LA | L 20-28 | -6.5 | 48.5 | 12 | 6 | 141 | 1 | 238 | 22 | 35% |
| 16 | @ NYJ | L 28-30 | -3 | 36.5 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 0 | 15 | 41 | 16% |
| 17 | vs SF | L 10-27 | -14 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 1 | 96 | 26 | 27% |
| 18 | vs DAL | L 10-38 | -13 | 47.5 | 8 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 61 | 57 | 29% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).