At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rush yds/g
59.3
▼ L5 47.4
Carries/g
15.7
▼ L5 12.4
Scrim yds/g
87.3
▼ L5 73.4
Rec/g
3.4
▲ L5 3.6
Tgt/g
4.3
▼ L5 4.2
TD/g
0.71
▼ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Rushing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 76% | 40% | 78% | 75% |
| 49.5 | 65% | 40% | 56% | 75% |
| 59.5 | 29% | 20% | 22% | 38% |
| 69.5 | 29% | 20% | 22% | 38% |
| 79.5 | 18% | 20% | 22% | 13% |
| 89.5 | 12% | 20% | 11% | 13% |
Rush + rec yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.5 | 71% | 60% | 56% | 88% |
| 74.5 | 59% | 40% | 44% | 75% |
| 89.5 | 29% | 20% | 22% | 38% |
| 104.5 | 24% | 20% | 22% | 25% |
| 119.5 | 18% | 0% | 11% | 25% |
Carries
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5 | 76% | 60% | 67% | 88% |
| 14.5 | 53% | 40% | 44% | 63% |
| 17.5 | 41% | 0% | 33% | 50% |
| 20.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 82% | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 60% | 33% | 63% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
Rushing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
15%
Air-yards share
-3%
Rec EPA/game
-0.8
Splits
Rushing yards per game.
Home
55.9
9 g
Away
63.1
8 g
In wins
73.9
9 g
In losses
42.9
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ IND | W 31-21 | +4 | 45.5 | 18 | 77 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 0 |
| 2 | vs KC | L 9-17 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 12 | 40 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | vs HOU | L 17-37 | +7.5 | 43.5 | 19 | 88 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 0 |
| 4 | vs ATL | W 23-7 | +3.5 | 42.5 | 20 | 55 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| 5 | @ BUF | W 25-20 | -5.5 | 48.5 | 26 | 136 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
| 6 | vs IND | W 37-20 | +4 | 44 | 18 | 55 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 |
| 7 | @ NO | W 31-24 | -2.5 | 41 | 14 | 53 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
| 8 | @ PIT | W 20-10 | +2.5 | 41 | 24 | 79 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 70 | 1 |
| 10 | vs SF | L 3-34 | -3 | 44.5 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 | vs TEN | W 34-14 | +6.5 | 40 | 14 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 | @ HOU | W 24-21 | +1 | 48 | 20 | 56 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 | vs CIN | L 31-34 | +10 | 41 | 11 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 | @ CLE | L 27-31 | -2.5 | 37.5 | 14 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 | vs BAL | L 7-23 | -4 | 42.5 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 | @ TB | L 12-30 | +2 | 43 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 | vs CAR | W 26-0 | +3.5 | 38 | 16 | 102 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 | @ TEN | L 20-28 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 16 | 57 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).