At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
52.5
▼ L5 50.8
Rec/g
5.8
▲ L5 5.8
Tgt/g
7.9
▲ L5 9.0
Rec TD/g
0.21
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 53% | 60% | 60% | 44% |
| 49.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| 69.5 | 32% | 20% | 30% | 33% |
| 79.5 | 26% | 20% | 20% | 33% |
| 89.5 | 16% | 0% | 20% | 11% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 84% | 100% | 80% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 79% | 100% | 70% | 89% |
| 4.5 | 58% | 80% | 70% | 44% |
| 5.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 42% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 26% | 20% | 30% | 22% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 79% | 100% | 70% | 89% |
| 6.5 | 58% | 80% | 60% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 37% | 40% | 40% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 40% | 30% | 22% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
29%
Air-yards share
24%
Rec EPA/game
4.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
55.2
10 g
Away
49.6
9 g
In wins
55.9
17 g
In losses
23.5
2 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs HOU | W 23-14 | +9.5 | 41.5 | 8 | 7 | 117 | 1 | 67 | 57 | 33% |
| 21* | vs BUF | W 32-29 | +1.5 | 49.5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 16% |
| 22* | @ PHI | L 22-40 | +1.5 | 48.5 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 34 | 19 | 19% |
| 1 | vs BAL | W 27-20 | +3 | 46 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 27 | 10 | 15% |
| 2 | vs CIN | W 26-25 | +6.5 | 47.5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 13% |
| 3 | @ ATL | W 22-17 | +3 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 25 | 11 | 14% |
| 4 | @ LAC | W 17-10 | +7.5 | 41.5 | 9 | 7 | 89 | 0 | 82 | 36 | 32% |
| 5 | vs NO | W 26-13 | +5.5 | 43 | 10 | 9 | 70 | 0 | 52 | 34 | 29% |
| 7 | @ SF | W 28-18 | -2.5 | 47.5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 38 | 12 | 20% |
| 8 | @ LV | W 27-20 | +9 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 90 | 1 | 78 | 32 | 34% |
| 9 | vs TB | W 30-24 | +9 | 45.5 | 16 | 14 | 100 | 0 | 83 | 35 | 38% |
| 10 | vs DEN | W 16-14 | +7.5 | 42.5 | 12 | 8 | 64 | 1 | 82 | 21 | 30% |
| 11 | @ BUF | L 21-30 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 43 | 6 | 13% |
| 12 | @ CAR | W 30-27 | +11 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 62 | 0 | 51 | 35 | 22% |
| 13 | vs LV | W 19-17 | +13.5 | 42 | 13 | 7 | 68 | 0 | 79 | 28 | 29% |
| 14 | vs LAC | W 19-17 | +5 | 43.5 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 48 | 14 | 17% |
| 15 | @ CLE | W 21-7 | +4.5 | 41.5 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 90 | 11 | 21% |
| 16 | vs HOU | W 27-19 | +3.5 | 42.5 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 17% |
| 17 | @ PIT | W 29-10 | +3 | 43.5 | 11 | 8 | 84 | 1 | 51 | 53 | 29% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).