At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
74.9
▼ L5 60.8
Rec/g
6.1
▼ L5 5.0
Tgt/g
8.5
▼ L5 7.4
Rec TD/g
0.63
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 68% | 20% | 73% | 63% |
| 49.5 | 68% | 20% | 73% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 63% | 20% | 64% | 63% |
| 69.5 | 53% | 20% | 55% | 50% |
| 79.5 | 42% | 20% | 36% | 50% |
| 89.5 | 42% | 20% | 36% | 50% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 89% | 60% | 82% | 100% |
| 4.5 | 74% | 40% | 73% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 53% | 20% | 45% | 63% |
| 6.5 | 42% | 20% | 27% | 63% |
| 7.5 | 26% | 20% | 18% | 38% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 95% | 80% | 91% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 79% | 60% | 82% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 20% | 36% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 20% | 18% | 38% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
12%
Air-yards share
12%
Rec EPA/game
5.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
69.0
11 g
Away
83.1
8 g
In wins
74.5
13 g
In losses
75.8
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PIT | W 42-21 | +13 | 46 | 7 | 5 | 108 | 1 | 59 | 68 | 18% |
| 20* | vs BUF | W 42-36 | +2.5 | 54 | 9 | 8 | 96 | 1 | 73 | 30 | 21% |
| 21* | vs CIN | L 24-27 | +7 | 54.5 | 11 | 10 | 95 | 1 | 70 | 38 | 30% |
| 1 | vs CLE | W 33-29 | +5.5 | 54.5 | 7 | 6 | 76 | 2 | 54 | 31 | 21% |
| 2 | @ BAL | L 35-36 | +3.5 | 53.5 | 8 | 7 | 109 | 1 | 29 | 87 | 27% |
| 3 | vs LAC | L 24-30 | +6.5 | 55 | 11 | 7 | 104 | 0 | 143 | 33 | 28% |
| 4 | @ PHI | W 42-30 | +7.5 | 53.5 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 23 | 17 | 20% |
| 5 | vs BUF | L 20-38 | +2.5 | 57 | 10 | 6 | 57 | 1 | 104 | 19 | 20% |
| 6 | @ WAS | W 31-13 | +6 | 54 | 11 | 8 | 99 | 0 | 63 | 50 | 24% |
| 7 | @ TEN | L 3-27 | +4 | 57.5 | 12 | 7 | 65 | 0 | 110 | 35 | 25% |
| 8 | vs NYG | W 20-17 | +10.5 | 53 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 39 | 17 | 14% |
| 9 | vs GB | W 13-7 | +7 | 48 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 1 | 70 | 20 | 22% |
| 10 | @ LV | W 41-14 | +2.5 | 53.5 | 10 | 8 | 119 | 0 | 53 | 72 | 21% |
| 11 | vs DAL | W 19-9 | +2.5 | 56 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 0 | 54 | 31 | 24% |
| 13 | vs DEN | W 22-9 | +8.5 | 46.5 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 61 | 9 | 30% |
| 14 | vs LV | W 48-9 | +10 | 48 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 21 | 15 | 18% |
| 15 | @ LAC | W 34-28 | +3 | 54 | 13 | 10 | 191 | 2 | 105 | 104 | 29% |
| 17 | @ CIN | L 31-34 | +3.5 | 51 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 35 | 14 | 21% |
| 18 | @ DEN | W 28-24 | +11.5 | 44.5 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 12% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).