At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
70.5
▼ L5 50.4
Rec/g
6.6
▼ L5 4.6
Tgt/g
8.3
▼ L5 6.6
Rec TD/g
0.42
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 79% | 60% | 80% | 78% |
| 49.5 | 68% | 40% | 60% | 78% |
| 59.5 | 63% | 40% | 60% | 67% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| 79.5 | 37% | 40% | 40% | 33% |
| 89.5 | 26% | 0% | 30% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 89% | 80% | 80% | 100% |
| 4.5 | 79% | 60% | 80% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 63% | 20% | 70% | 56% |
| 6.5 | 42% | 0% | 60% | 22% |
| 7.5 | 26% | 0% | 30% | 22% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 89% | 80% | 80% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 79% | 60% | 80% | 78% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 20% | 60% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 16% | 0% | 10% | 22% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
14%
Air-yards share
9%
Rec EPA/game
-0.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
73.7
10 g
Away
66.9
9 g
In wins
73.5
14 g
In losses
62.0
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs MIA | W 26-7 | +4.5 | 43.5 | 10 | 7 | 71 | 0 | 52 | 44 | 29% |
| 20* | @ BUF | W 27-24 | -2.5 | 45.5 | 6 | 5 | 75 | 2 | 63 | 22 | 29% |
| 21* | @ BAL | W 17-10 | -4.5 | 44 | 11 | 11 | 116 | 1 | 82 | 34 | 31% |
| 22* | vs SF | W 25-22 | -1.5 | 47 | 10 | 9 | 93 | 0 | 46 | 58 | 24% |
| 2 | @ JAX | W 17-9 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 9 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 53 | 14 | 23% |
| 3 | vs CHI | W 41-10 | +13 | 48 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 22% |
| 4 | @ NYJ | W 23-20 | +9.5 | 41.5 | 9 | 6 | 60 | 0 | 54 | 38 | 31% |
| 5 | @ MIN | W 27-20 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 11 | 10 | 67 | 1 | 51 | 37 | 28% |
| 6 | vs DEN | W 19-8 | +10.5 | 47.5 | 9 | 9 | 124 | 0 | 84 | 40 | 23% |
| 7 | vs LAC | W 31-17 | +5.5 | 48.5 | 13 | 12 | 179 | 1 | 130 | 73 | 33% |
| 8 | @ DEN | L 9-24 | +7 | 45.5 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 43 | 41 | 24% |
| 9 | vs MIA | W 21-14 | +1 | 51 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 0 | -3 | 16 | 14% |
| 11 | vs PHI | L 17-21 | +2.5 | 46 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 1 | 57 | 13 | 23% |
| 12 | @ LV | W 31-17 | +9 | 42.5 | 7 | 6 | 91 | 0 | 80 | 27 | 22% |
| 13 | @ GB | L 19-27 | +5.5 | 43.5 | 5 | 4 | 81 | 0 | 56 | 36 | 17% |
| 14 | vs BUF | L 17-20 | +2 | 49.5 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 0 | 119 | 24 | 26% |
| 15 | @ NE | W 27-17 | +10 | 39.5 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 25 | 28 | 20% |
| 16 | vs LV | L 14-20 | +11 | 40.5 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 0 | -10 | 57 | 17% |
| 17 | vs CIN | W 25-17 | +7.5 | 46 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 14% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).