At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
251.0
▲ L5 254.0
Pass TD/g
1.31
▲ L5 1.80
Comp/g
23.1
▲ L5 24.2
Att/g
35.3
▲ L5 38.8
INT/g
0.88
▲ L5 1.40
Rush yds/g
21.2
▼ L5 19.8
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 88% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| 224.5 | 63% | 80% | 50% | 75% |
| 249.5 | 56% | 80% | 50% | 63% |
| 274.5 | 31% | 20% | 13% | 50% |
| 299.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 60% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 88% | 80% | 88% | 88% |
| 19.5 | 88% | 80% | 88% | 88% |
| 21.5 | 75% | 80% | 75% | 75% |
| 23.5 | 50% | 60% | 38% | 63% |
| 25.5 | 19% | 40% | 13% | 25% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 56% | 60% | 38% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 60% | 13% | 38% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
1.6
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
231.5
8 g
Away
270.5
8 g
In wins
258.3
8 g
In losses
243.8
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ IND | W 31-21 | +4 | 45.5 | 24 | 32 | 241 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 216 | -9.0 |
| 2 | vs KC | L 9-17 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 22 | 41 | 216 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 274 | -12.6 |
| 3 | vs HOU | L 17-37 | +7.5 | 43.5 | 27 | 40 | 279 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 292 | 2.2 |
| 4 | vs ATL | W 23-7 | +3.5 | 42.5 | 23 | 30 | 207 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 179 | 4.4 |
| 5 | @ BUF | W 25-20 | -5.5 | 48.5 | 25 | 37 | 315 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 294 | 8.4 |
| 6 | vs IND | W 37-20 | +4 | 44 | 20 | 30 | 181 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 222 | -3.7 |
| 7 | @ NO | W 31-24 | -2.5 | 41 | 20 | 29 | 204 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 4.6 |
| 8 | @ PIT | W 20-10 | +2.5 | 41 | 24 | 32 | 292 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 215 | 7.1 |
| 10 | vs SF | L 3-34 | -3 | 44.5 | 17 | 29 | 185 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 187 | -17.3 |
| 11 | vs TEN | W 34-14 | +6.5 | 40 | 24 | 32 | 262 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 304 | 16.5 |
| 12 | @ HOU | W 24-21 | +1 | 48 | 23 | 38 | 364 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 322 | 11.4 |
| 13 | vs CIN | L 31-34 | +10 | 41 | 22 | 29 | 258 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 369 | 10.5 |
| 14 | @ CLE | L 27-31 | -2.5 | 37.5 | 28 | 50 | 257 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 495 | -6.3 |
| 15 | vs BAL | L 7-23 | -4 | 42.5 | 25 | 43 | 264 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 431 | -12.1 |
| 16 | @ TB | L 12-30 | +2 | 43 | 17 | 29 | 211 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 318 | -4.9 |
| 18 | @ TEN | L 20-28 | +3.5 | 41.5 | 29 | 43 | 280 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 308 | 1.6 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).