At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
260.6
▲ L5 284.8
Pass TD/g
1.73
▲ L5 2.00
Comp/g
26.5
▲ L5 30.0
Att/g
36.3
▲ L5 41.4
INT/g
0.64
▼ L5 0.60
Rush yds/g
4.5
▼ L5 1.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 82% | 80% | 86% | 75% |
| 224.5 | 64% | 60% | 71% | 50% |
| 249.5 | 45% | 60% | 57% | 25% |
| 274.5 | 45% | 60% | 57% | 25% |
| 299.5 | 36% | 60% | 43% | 25% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 60% | 43% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 20% | 14% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 91% | 100% | 86% | 100% |
| 19.5 | 91% | 100% | 86% | 100% |
| 21.5 | 82% | 100% | 86% | 75% |
| 23.5 | 64% | 80% | 57% | 75% |
| 25.5 | 55% | 80% | 57% | 50% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 27% | 20% | 14% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
5.7
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
266.9
7 g
Away
249.8
4 g
In wins
282.7
6 g
In losses
234.2
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs JAX | W 20-17 | +3.5 | 49.5 | 23 | 37 | 338 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 228 | 4.3 |
| 2 | vs BUF | L 10-31 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 17 | 25 | 145 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 181 | -10.7 |
| 8 | vs ARI | L 27-28 | +4 | 46.5 | 28 | 38 | 234 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 192 | 8.7 |
| 9 | @ BUF | L 27-30 | -6.5 | 49 | 25 | 28 | 231 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 137 | 17.5 |
| 10 | @ LA | W 23-15 | -2.5 | 49.5 | 20 | 28 | 207 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 153 | -1.5 |
| 11 | vs LV | W 34-19 | +8 | 43.5 | 28 | 36 | 288 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 178 | 24.5 |
| 12 | vs NE | W 34-15 | +7.5 | 46 | 29 | 40 | 317 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 227 | 13.1 |
| 13 | @ GB | L 17-30 | -3.5 | 47.5 | 37 | 46 | 365 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 312 | 11.8 |
| 14 | vs NYJ | W 32-26 | +6.5 | 45 | 33 | 47 | 331 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 20.0 |
| 15 | @ HOU | L 12-20 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 29 | 40 | 196 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 184 | -8.9 |
| 16 | vs SF | W 29-17 | -2 | 44 | 22 | 34 | 215 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 5.7 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).