At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
267.9
▼ L5 233.4
Pass TD/g
1.67
▼ L5 1.00
Comp/g
22.7
▼ L5 21.4
Att/g
33.3
▼ L5 31.8
INT/g
0.83
▼ L5 0.80
Rush yds/g
5.5
▲ L5 6.8
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 83% | 80% | 89% | 78% |
| 224.5 | 72% | 60% | 78% | 67% |
| 249.5 | 50% | 20% | 67% | 33% |
| 274.5 | 44% | 20% | 56% | 33% |
| 299.5 | 28% | 0% | 44% | 11% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 80% | 89% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 20% | 56% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 33% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 94% | 80% | 89% | 100% |
| 19.5 | 89% | 80% | 89% | 89% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 60% | 67% | 44% |
| 23.5 | 28% | 20% | 33% | 22% |
| 25.5 | 17% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 61% | 40% | 44% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 40% | 22% | 22% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
1.3
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
273.1
9 g
Away
262.8
9 g
In wins
298.5
11 g
In losses
220.0
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ KC | L 7-26 | -4.5 | 43.5 | 20 | 39 | 199 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 289 | -13.9 |
| 1 | @ LAC | W 36-34 | -3 | 50.5 | 28 | 45 | 466 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 495 | 27.1 |
| 2 | @ NE | W 24-17 | +2 | 46.5 | 21 | 30 | 249 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 269 | 11.3 |
| 3 | vs DEN | W 70-20 | +6 | 47.5 | 23 | 26 | 309 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 26.4 |
| 4 | @ BUF | L 20-48 | -2.5 | 53 | 25 | 35 | 282 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 188 | -3.5 |
| 5 | vs NYG | W 31-16 | +12.5 | 47.5 | 22 | 30 | 308 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 123 | -1.8 |
| 6 | vs CAR | W 42-21 | +14 | 47.5 | 21 | 31 | 262 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 16.1 |
| 7 | @ PHI | L 17-31 | -3 | 52 | 23 | 32 | 216 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 259 | -3.8 |
| 8 | vs NE | W 31-17 | +7.5 | 46.5 | 30 | 45 | 324 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 305 | 12.6 |
| 9 | @ KC | L 14-21 | -1 | 51 | 21 | 34 | 193 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 281 | 0.5 |
| 11 | vs LV | W 20-13 | +14 | 44.5 | 28 | 39 | 325 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 295 | 4.8 |
| 12 | @ NYJ | W 34-13 | +9.5 | 40 | 21 | 30 | 243 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 147 | 4.5 |
| 13 | @ WAS | W 45-15 | +8.5 | 50 | 18 | 24 | 280 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 19.7 |
| 14 | vs TEN | L 27-28 | +14 | 45 | 23 | 33 | 240 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 252 | -7.4 |
| 15 | vs NYJ | W 30-0 | +7.5 | 36 | 21 | 24 | 224 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 96 | 9.2 |
| 16 | vs DAL | W 22-20 | +1.5 | 48.5 | 24 | 37 | 293 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 362 | 7.3 |
| 17 | @ BAL | L 19-56 | -3 | 47 | 22 | 38 | 237 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 263 | -0.4 |
| 18 | vs BUF | L 14-21 | -2.5 | 47.5 | 17 | 27 | 173 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 307 | 1.3 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).