At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
272.9
▼ L5 256.6
Pass TD/g
1.92
▼ L5 1.40
Comp/g
19.9
▼ L5 16.6
Att/g
30.8
▼ L5 30.4
INT/g
0.62
▲ L5 1.00
Rush yds/g
5.4
▲ L5 7.0
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 77% | 80% | 83% | 71% |
| 224.5 | 77% | 80% | 83% | 71% |
| 249.5 | 69% | 60% | 83% | 57% |
| 274.5 | 54% | 60% | 50% | 57% |
| 299.5 | 31% | 20% | 17% | 43% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 100% | 100% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 40% | 17% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 0% | 17% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 62% | 40% | 67% | 57% |
| 19.5 | 54% | 20% | 67% | 43% |
| 21.5 | 38% | 20% | 50% | 29% |
| 23.5 | 23% | 0% | 17% | 29% |
| 25.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 29% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 31% | 40% | 17% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 40% | 17% | 29% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
1.0
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
268.5
6 g
Away
276.7
7 g
In wins
306.8
8 g
In losses
218.8
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs NE | W 20-7 | +3 | 47 | 23 | 33 | 270 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 275 | 5.9 |
| 2 | @ BAL | W 42-38 | -3 | 44 | 36 | 50 | 469 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 362 | 26.9 |
| 3 | vs BUF | W 21-19 | -4 | 54 | 13 | 18 | 186 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 177 | 8.7 |
| 4 | @ CIN | L 15-27 | -4 | 48.5 | 8 | 14 | 110 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 159 | -0.6 |
| 7 | vs PIT | W 16-10 | +7.5 | 44.5 | 21 | 35 | 261 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 345 | 5.6 |
| 8 | @ DET | W 31-27 | +3.5 | 52 | 29 | 36 | 382 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 404 | 25.1 |
| 9 | @ CHI | W 35-32 | +4 | 46 | 21 | 30 | 302 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 19.0 |
| 10 | vs CLE | W 39-17 | +3 | 49 | 25 | 32 | 285 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 18.0 |
| 12 | vs HOU | W 30-15 | +14 | 47 | 22 | 36 | 299 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 386 | 8.3 |
| 13 | @ SF | L 17-33 | -4.5 | 46 | 18 | 33 | 295 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 371 | -11.3 |
| 14 | @ LAC | L 17-23 | +3 | 54.5 | 10 | 28 | 145 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 341 | -7.9 |
| 15 | @ BUF | L 29-32 | -7 | 44 | 17 | 30 | 234 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 248 | -1.0 |
| 16 | vs GB | L 20-26 | +3.5 | 49 | 16 | 25 | 310 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 264 | 1.0 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).