At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
52.6
▲ L5 54.4
Rec/g
4.6
▼ L5 4.0
Tgt/g
7.2
▼ L5 7.0
Rec TD/g
0.29
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 59% | 60% | 25% | 89% |
| 49.5 | 53% | 60% | 25% | 78% |
| 59.5 | 35% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| 69.5 | 35% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| 79.5 | 29% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| 89.5 | 12% | 0% | 13% | 11% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 60% | 75% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 40% | 38% | 78% |
| 4.5 | 47% | 40% | 25% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 40% | 25% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 24% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| 7.5 | 24% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 80% | 88% | 89% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 40% | 50% | 67% |
| 8.5 | 29% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
15%
Air-yards share
37%
Rec EPA/game
5.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
39.5
8 g
Away
64.2
9 g
In wins
59.0
9 g
In losses
45.4
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs LA | L 13-30 | +4.5 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 17% |
| 2 | @ DET | W 37-31 | -4.5 | 47.5 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 2 | 71 | 12 | 27% |
| 3 | vs CAR | W 37-27 | +5 | 42.5 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 92 | 19 | 20% |
| 4 | @ NYG | W 24-3 | +2.5 | 46.5 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 0 | 49 | 11 | 23% |
| 6 | @ CIN | L 13-17 | -3 | 45.5 | 8 | 6 | 94 | 0 | 113 | 17 | 22% |
| 7 | vs ARI | W 20-10 | +9.5 | 43.5 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 59 | 2 | 21% |
| 8 | vs CLE | W 24-20 | +4 | 39.5 | 9 | 8 | 81 | 1 | 90 | 18 | 25% |
| 9 | @ BAL | L 3-37 | -6 | 44.5 | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 82 | 0 | 32% |
| 10 | vs WAS | W 29-26 | +6 | 44 | 10 | 8 | 92 | 1 | 104 | 45 | 24% |
| 11 | @ LA | L 16-17 | -2.5 | 45 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 76 | 18 | 18% |
| 12 | vs SF | L 13-31 | -7 | 43.5 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 58 | 2 | 19% |
| 13 | @ DAL | L 35-41 | -9.5 | 47.5 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 0 | 72 | 10 | 21% |
| 14 | @ SF | L 16-28 | -14.5 | 44.5 | 6 | 6 | 89 | 0 | 65 | 24 | 19% |
| 15 | vs PHI | W 20-17 | -5 | 46 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 117 | 2 | 28% |
| 16 | @ TEN | W 20-17 | +3 | 42 | 11 | 8 | 81 | 0 | 115 | 12 | 31% |
| 17 | vs PIT | L 23-30 | +4.5 | 40.5 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 15% |
| 18 | @ ARI | W 21-20 | +2.5 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 71 | 1 | 59 | 17 | 15% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).