At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
56.4
▲ L5 61.0
Rec/g
4.8
▲ L5 5.2
Tgt/g
7.2
▲ L5 8.0
Rec TD/g
0.35
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 59% | 40% | 63% | 56% |
| 49.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| 69.5 | 35% | 40% | 38% | 33% |
| 79.5 | 29% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| 89.5 | 18% | 40% | 25% | 11% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 60% | 100% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 40% | 75% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 47% | 40% | 63% | 33% |
| 5.5 | 41% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| 6.5 | 24% | 40% | 38% | 11% |
| 7.5 | 12% | 40% | 13% | 11% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 82% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 80% | 75% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 40% | 38% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 12% | 20% | 25% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
8%
Air-yards share
14%
Rec EPA/game
0.4
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
62.8
8 g
Away
50.8
9 g
In wins
71.6
8 g
In losses
42.9
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs JAX | W 20-17 | +3.5 | 49.5 | 12 | 7 | 130 | 1 | 143 | 84 | 33% |
| 2 | vs BUF | L 10-31 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 79 | 25 | 16% |
| 3 | @ SEA | L 3-24 | -4 | 41.5 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 35 | 10 | 16% |
| 4 | vs TEN | L 12-31 | +2.5 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 129 | 4 | 33% |
| 5 | @ NE | W 15-10 | +2 | 37 | 9 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 76 | 17 | 29% |
| 7 | @ IND | L 10-16 | -3 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 39 | 3 | 9% |
| 8 | vs ARI | L 27-28 | +4 | 46.5 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 0 | 102 | 19 | 24% |
| 9 | @ BUF | L 27-30 | -6.5 | 49 | 5 | 4 | 80 | 0 | 79 | 12 | 19% |
| 10 | @ LA | W 23-15 | -2.5 | 49.5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 14% |
| 11 | vs LV | W 34-19 | +8 | 43.5 | 8 | 7 | 61 | 1 | 64 | 5 | 23% |
| 12 | vs NE | W 34-15 | +7.5 | 46 | 6 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 40 | 11 | 15% |
| 13 | @ GB | L 17-30 | -3.5 | 47.5 | 9 | 6 | 83 | 1 | 103 | 23 | 20% |
| 14 | vs NYJ | W 32-26 | +6.5 | 45 | 14 | 10 | 115 | 1 | 141 | 30 | 31% |
| 15 | @ HOU | L 12-20 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 0 | 108 | 2 | 18% |
| 16 | vs SF | W 29-17 | -2 | 44 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 1 | 95 | 10 | 23% |
| 17 | @ CLE | W 20-3 | +3 | 32.5 | 9 | 9 | 105 | 0 | 80 | 25 | 38% |
| 18 | @ NYJ | L 20-32 | -1.5 | 39.5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 38 | -2 | 8% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).