At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
76.2
▼ L5 57.0
Rec/g
6.7
▼ L5 5.0
Tgt/g
9.3
▼ L5 6.4
Rec TD/g
0.60
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 75% | 60% | 75% | 75% |
| 49.5 | 65% | 40% | 75% | 50% |
| 59.5 | 55% | 40% | 58% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 50% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| 79.5 | 30% | 20% | 25% | 38% |
| 89.5 | 25% | 20% | 25% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 85% | 60% | 83% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 80% | 60% | 83% | 75% |
| 4.5 | 70% | 40% | 67% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 60% | 40% | 50% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 20% | 50% | 50% |
| 7.5 | 35% | 20% | 33% | 38% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 80% | 40% | 83% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 70% | 40% | 67% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 65% | 40% | 58% | 75% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 20% | 50% | 38% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
7%
Air-yards share
12%
Rec EPA/game
1.4
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
77.2
12 g
Away
74.8
8 g
In wins
87.4
14 g
In losses
50.0
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PIT | W 42-21 | +13 | 46 | 5 | 5 | 57 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 13% |
| 20* | vs BUF | W 42-36 | +2.5 | 54 | 13 | 11 | 150 | 1 | 83 | 94 | 31% |
| 21* | vs CIN | L 24-27 | +7 | 54.5 | 10 | 7 | 78 | 1 | 109 | 29 | 27% |
| 1 | vs CLE | W 33-29 | +5.5 | 54.5 | 15 | 11 | 197 | 1 | 231 | 50 | 44% |
| 2 | @ BAL | L 35-36 | +3.5 | 53.5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 17 | 13 | 13% |
| 3 | vs LAC | L 24-30 | +6.5 | 55 | 7 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 86 | 20 | 18% |
| 4 | @ PHI | W 42-30 | +7.5 | 53.5 | 12 | 11 | 186 | 3 | 163 | 43 | 40% |
| 5 | vs BUF | L 20-38 | +2.5 | 57 | 13 | 7 | 63 | 0 | 77 | 43 | 26% |
| 6 | @ WAS | W 31-13 | +6 | 54 | 12 | 9 | 76 | 1 | 74 | 25 | 26% |
| 7 | @ TEN | L 3-27 | +4 | 57.5 | 9 | 6 | 49 | 0 | 64 | 4 | 19% |
| 8 | vs NYG | W 20-17 | +10.5 | 53 | 18 | 12 | 94 | 1 | 182 | 57 | 42% |
| 9 | vs GB | W 13-7 | +7 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 199 | 7 | 31% |
| 10 | @ LV | W 41-14 | +2.5 | 53.5 | 10 | 7 | 83 | 2 | 130 | 37 | 21% |
| 11 | vs DAL | W 19-9 | +2.5 | 56 | 11 | 9 | 77 | 0 | 51 | 48 | 33% |
| 13 | vs DEN | W 22-9 | +8.5 | 46.5 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 47 | 16 | 19% |
| 14 | vs LV | W 48-9 | +10 | 48 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 0 | 62 | 14 | 18% |
| 15 | @ LAC | W 34-28 | +3 | 54 | 13 | 12 | 148 | 1 | 95 | 47 | 29% |
| 16 | vs PIT | W 36-10 | +10.5 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 7% |
| 17 | @ CIN | L 31-34 | +3.5 | 51 | 10 | 6 | 40 | 0 | 125 | 14 | 29% |
| 18 | @ DEN | W 28-24 | +11.5 | 44.5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).