At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
109.5
▼ L5 95.0
Rec/g
7.3
▼ L5 6.2
Tgt/g
10.5
▼ L5 10.2
Rec TD/g
0.82
▼ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 49.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 59.5 | 88% | 100% | 100% | 78% |
| 69.5 | 71% | 80% | 88% | 56% |
| 79.5 | 65% | 60% | 88% | 44% |
| 89.5 | 53% | 40% | 75% | 33% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 4.5 | 88% | 80% | 88% | 89% |
| 5.5 | 71% | 60% | 88% | 56% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 40% | 75% | 44% |
| 7.5 | 53% | 20% | 63% | 44% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 88% | 80% | 88% | 89% |
| 8.5 | 76% | 60% | 88% | 67% |
| 10.5 | 53% | 60% | 63% | 44% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
48%
Air-yards share
64%
Rec EPA/game
2.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
125.1
8 g
Away
95.6
9 g
In wins
137.2
10 g
In losses
69.9
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ KC | L 7-26 | -4.5 | 43.5 | 8 | 5 | 62 | 1 | 83 | 31 | 21% |
| 1 | @ LAC | W 36-34 | -3 | 50.5 | 15 | 11 | 215 | 2 | 227 | 52 | 34% |
| 2 | @ NE | W 24-17 | +2 | 46.5 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 1 | 127 | 10 | 31% |
| 3 | vs DEN | W 70-20 | +6 | 47.5 | 11 | 9 | 157 | 1 | 126 | 54 | 39% |
| 4 | @ BUF | L 20-48 | -2.5 | 53 | 5 | 3 | 58 | 0 | 55 | 12 | 15% |
| 5 | vs NYG | W 31-16 | +12.5 | 47.5 | 9 | 8 | 181 | 1 | 64 | 145 | 32% |
| 6 | vs CAR | W 42-21 | +14 | 47.5 | 10 | 6 | 163 | 1 | 146 | 53 | 33% |
| 7 | @ PHI | L 17-31 | -3 | 52 | 15 | 11 | 88 | 1 | 99 | 25 | 47% |
| 8 | vs NE | W 31-17 | +7.5 | 46.5 | 13 | 8 | 112 | 1 | 112 | 31 | 30% |
| 9 | @ KC | L 14-21 | -1 | 51 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 0 | 76 | 26 | 30% |
| 11 | vs LV | W 20-13 | +14 | 44.5 | 11 | 10 | 146 | 1 | 121 | 43 | 31% |
| 12 | @ NYJ | W 34-13 | +9.5 | 40 | 12 | 9 | 102 | 1 | 44 | 73 | 43% |
| 13 | @ WAS | W 45-15 | +8.5 | 50 | 7 | 5 | 157 | 2 | 107 | 80 | 28% |
| 14 | vs TEN | L 27-28 | +14 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 67 | -3 | 15% |
| 16 | vs DAL | W 22-20 | +1.5 | 48.5 | 14 | 9 | 99 | 0 | 165 | 28 | 39% |
| 17 | @ BAL | L 19-56 | -3 | 47 | 12 | 6 | 76 | 0 | 114 | 10 | 33% |
| 18 | vs BUF | L 14-21 | -2.5 | 47.5 | 13 | 7 | 82 | 1 | 197 | 13 | 48% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).