At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
62.3
▼ L5 54.0
Rec/g
4.4
▼ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
6.8
▼ L5 5.8
Rec TD/g
0.24
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 53% | 60% | 63% | 44% |
| 49.5 | 53% | 60% | 63% | 44% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 40% | 63% | 33% |
| 69.5 | 41% | 40% | 63% | 22% |
| 79.5 | 35% | 20% | 50% | 22% |
| 89.5 | 35% | 20% | 50% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 71% | 60% | 75% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 40% | 63% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 53% | 40% | 50% | 56% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 20% | 25% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 24% | 0% | 25% | 22% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 76% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 53% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 29% | 0% | 25% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 18% | 0% | 13% | 22% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
7%
Air-yards share
1%
Rec EPA/game
-1.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
72.5
8 g
Away
53.2
9 g
In wins
58.6
12 g
In losses
71.2
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ KC | L 20-27 | -3 | 46 | 10 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 54 | 28 | 25% |
| 2 | vs LV | L 23-26 | +9 | 41 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 1 | 101 | 22 | 35% |
| 3 | @ DAL | W 28-25 | +1.5 | 47.5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27% |
| 4 | vs BUF | W 35-10 | +2.5 | 46.5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 23 | 12 | 11% |
| 5 | @ CIN | W 41-38 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 12 | 7 | 111 | 0 | 141 | 42 | 29% |
| 6 | vs WAS | W 30-23 | +6.5 | 51.5 | 9 | 9 | 132 | 0 | 42 | 90 | 36% |
| 7 | @ TB | W 41-31 | +4.5 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | -2 | 13 | 5% |
| 8 | @ CLE | L 24-29 | +7.5 | 44.5 | 12 | 7 | 115 | 0 | 195 | 30 | 34% |
| 9 | vs DEN | W 41-10 | +9 | 46.5 | 6 | 5 | 127 | 2 | 62 | 60 | 32% |
| 10 | vs CIN | W 35-34 | +6 | 53 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 31 | 29 | 19% |
| 11 | @ PIT | L 16-18 | +3 | 48 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 1 | 88 | 19 | 19% |
| 12 | @ LAC | W 30-23 | +3 | 51 | 8 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 80 | 27 | 38% |
| 13 | vs PHI | L 19-24 | +3 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 74 | 0 | 142 | 14 | 20% |
| 15 | @ NYG | W 35-14 | +16.5 | 43.5 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 0 | 56 | 11 | 29% |
| 16 | vs PIT | W 34-17 | +7 | 44.5 | 8 | 5 | 100 | 0 | 112 | 25 | 35% |
| 17 | @ HOU | W 31-2 | +5.5 | 46.5 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 79 | 10 | 31% |
| 18 | vs CLE | W 35-10 | +19.5 | 42.5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).