At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
56.3
▼ L5 54.0
Rec/g
4.8
▲ L5 4.8
Tgt/g
6.7
▲ L5 7.2
Rec TD/g
0.33
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 78% | 60% | 90% | 63% |
| 49.5 | 61% | 60% | 60% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 38% |
| 69.5 | 39% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 11% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 11% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 89% | 80% | 90% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 72% | 60% | 70% | 75% |
| 4.5 | 56% | 60% | 50% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 28% | 40% | 30% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 20% | 20% | 13% |
| 7.5 | 17% | 20% | 20% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 72% | 60% | 70% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 60% | 40% | 63% |
| 8.5 | 28% | 40% | 30% | 25% |
| 10.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
14%
Air-yards share
25%
Rec EPA/game
7.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
65.0
10 g
Away
45.5
8 g
In wins
50.4
14 g
In losses
77.3
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs HOU | W 34-10 | +10 | 44 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 44 | 10 | 24% |
| 21* | vs KC | L 10-17 | +4.5 | 44 | 8 | 5 | 115 | 1 | 88 | 38 | 24% |
| 1 | vs HOU | W 25-9 | +9.5 | 43.5 | 10 | 9 | 78 | 0 | 28 | 51 | 48% |
| 2 | @ CIN | W 27-24 | -3.5 | 45.5 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 65 | 27 | 15% |
| 3 | vs IND | L 19-22 | +7.5 | 43.5 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 38 | 20 | 33% |
| 4 | @ CLE | W 28-3 | +2 | 38.5 | 4 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 55 | 13 | 22% |
| 5 | @ PIT | L 10-17 | +4.5 | 38.5 | 11 | 5 | 73 | 0 | 168 | 10 | 29% |
| 6 | @ TEN | W 24-16 | +5.5 | 42.5 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 1 | 58 | 26 | 28% |
| 7 | vs DET | W 38-6 | +3 | 43.5 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 0 | 53 | 31 | 21% |
| 8 | @ ARI | W 31-24 | +9.5 | 44.5 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 24 | 15 | 27% |
| 9 | vs SEA | W 37-3 | +6 | 44.5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 3% |
| 10 | vs CLE | L 31-33 | +6 | 38.5 | 6 | 5 | 73 | 0 | 95 | 14 | 26% |
| 11 | vs CIN | W 34-20 | +4 | 46.5 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 29 | 43 | 17% |
| 12 | @ LAC | W 20-10 | +3 | 49 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 38 | 27 | 27% |
| 14 | vs LA | W 37-31 | +7.5 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 122 | 13 | 25% |
| 15 | @ JAX | W 23-7 | +4 | 42.5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 9% |
| 16 | @ SF | W 33-19 | -6.5 | 47.5 | 13 | 9 | 72 | 1 | 61 | 47 | 38% |
| 17 | vs MIA | W 56-19 | +3 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 106 | 1 | 61 | 45 | 14% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).