MLB · NL Central

Aaron Civale

Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups

Chicago CubsSPBats: R · Throws: R

FormColdStuffBelow avg

The read

A pitch-to-contact profile, though the run-prevention numbers run shaky.

Strikeout prop

How often Aaron Civale has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.

Strikeouts

share of starts cleared

L5L10Season

Over 4.5
40%30%33%
Over 5.5
20%20%20%
Over 6.5
0%0%0%
Over 7.5
0%0%0%

Research any pitcher with the prop-research tool.

On the mound

This season

ERA

4.92

WHIP

1.57

FIP

5.26

xERA

5.33

5-5 · 14 GS · 67.7 IP · 48 K · 20 BB · 14 HR

MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP

Last 5 starts

ERA

9.86

K/9

5.6

FIP

7.67

21.0 IP · 23 ER · 13 K · 6 BB

@LAA 5IP 5ER 2K
vSEA 4IP 7ER 2K
vPIT 3IP 6ER 2K
@SF 4IP 2ER 5K
@LAA 5IP 3ER 2K

Opponent splits

Stat	vs Lefties	vs Righties
Opp BA	.301	.254
K%	12%	21%
HR allowed	10	4
Sample	176 BF	130 BF

Quality of stuff

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 67.7 IP.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

ERA

4.92

FIP

5.26

xERA

5.33

WHIP

1.57

K %

18.0%

SwStr %

8.4%

Chase %

30.6%

Barrel %

9.8%

Attack zones

23%

Heart

41%

Shadow

24%

Chase

12%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 5.7 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

4-Seam

13%

Sinker

18%

Cutter

35%

Slider

Curve

25%

Other

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
Cutter	35.0%	87.6	2644	2.1	54.3%	10.8%	.332
Curve	24.9%	77.1	3046	5.1	47.7%	10.1%	.363
Sinker	18.4%	91.3	2280	1.6	50.6%	3.9%	.471
4-Seam	12.5%	91.4	2403	1.2	49.1%	5.7%	.462
Slider	3.6%	82.3	2851	3.7	36.0%	10.0%	.483

Based on 1,399 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.389

1st-pitch strike%

63.5%

Putaway%

34.2%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

6.94

L5 FIP

4.99

L5 K/9

12.3

L5 BB/9

3.9

L5 HR/9

2.3

Pitches/start

73.6

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.405

vs RHB xwOBA

.367

1st time xwOBA

.379

2nd time xwOBA

.415

3rd time xwOBA

.353

Inn 1-3 ERA

5.28

Inn 4-6 ERA

4.79

Inn 7+ ERA

4.41

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.100

7d K%

44.4%

7d velo

85.2

14d xwOBA

.318

14d K%

27.3%

30d xwOBA

.425

30d K%

28.1%

30d velo

85.5

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.