MLB · AL East

Aaron Judge

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

New York YankeesOFBats: R

FormColdPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Cooling off over the last ten.

At a glance

AVG

.245↓

OBP

.359

SLG

.528

OPS

.887

27%

Last 10: 7-for-38 (.184) · 1 HR · 11 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 256 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.548

100

Avg Exit V

94.1 mph

Barrel %

21.8%

100

Hard-Hit %

64.8%

Chase %

26.0%

Whiff %

30.1%

K %

26.6%

BB %

14.4%

Where he hits it

46%

Pull

26%

Center

28%

Oppo

Pull-air 20% of BIP · 105.2 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.882OPS76 PA

vs RHP.888OPS180 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Slider	67	.187	.359	.322	32.0%	26.9%	57.8%	13.8%	94.9 mph	17.3°
Four-seam	53	.216	.555	.467	22.8%	32.1%	71.9%	28.1%	99.3 mph	25.5°
Changeup	48	.170	.413	.374	44.1%	31.3%	46.2%	28.8%	91.5 mph	8.2°
Sinker	45	.459	.744	.541	11.6%	11.1%	56.0%	15.0%	91.6 mph	-0.5°
Curveball	21	.263	.893	.545	49.2%	42.9%	73.8%	61.9%	98.6 mph	26.5°
Cutter	19	.294	.353	.228	27.5%	36.8%	40.0%	0.0%	89.8 mph	21.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.408

xSLG

.909

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

116.2

EV90

110.1

Launch angle

14.9°

Sweet-spot%

34.5%

Avg distance

361 ft

EV on barrels

107.8

EV on hard-hit

103.9

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

64.0%

O-Contact%

48.4%

Z-Contact%

80.7%

Contact%

69.9%

SwStr%

12.7%

CSW%

29.2%

In-zone%

43.9%

1st-pitch swing%

32.0%

2-strike K%

43.9%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.363

7d K%

18.5%

7d Barrel%

11.1%

7d Whiff%

26.2%

14d xwOBA(con)

.446

14d K%

26.9%

14d Barrel%

18.8%

30d xwOBA(con)

.484

30d K%

28.1%

30d Barrel%

16.4%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.568

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.570

Behind xwOBA(con)

.526

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.600

Ahead Whiff%

24.8%

2-strike Whiff%

23.4%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.379

RISP

.517

Loaded

.460

High leverage

.411

Clutch

.608

Innings 1-3

.560

Innings 4-6

.550

Innings 7+

.529

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.