MLB · NL East
Aaron Nola
Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups
The read
Above-average strikeout stuff.
Strikeout prop
How often Aaron Nola has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.
Strikeouts
share of starts cleared- Over 4.5▼ cold60%60%68%
- Over 5.5▲ hot60%40%36%
- Over 6.5▲ hot40%20%23%
- Over 7.520%10%14%
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On the mound
This season
ERA
5.82
WHIP
1.45
FIP
5.03
xERA
4.33
MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP
Last 5 starts
ERA
6.51
K/9
9.8
FIP
5.66
HR
8
- vPIT 4.1IP 7ER 5K
- @KC 7IP 3ER 7K
- @DET 5IP 2ER 8K
- vNYM 6IP 3ER 6K
- vLAD 5.1IP 5ER 4K
Opponent splits
| Stat | vs Lefties | vs Righties |
|---|---|---|
| Opp BA | .244 | .271 |
| K% | 22% | 26% |
| HR allowed | 15 | 10 |
| Sample | 287 BF | 188 BF |
Quality of stuff
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 108.3 IP.
Attack zones
20%
Heart
41%
Shadow
27%
Chase
12%
Waste
Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 6.9 ft extension
Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.
Full Statcast profile
Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Spin | Break | Zone% | SwStr% | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam | 23.3% | 92.2 | 2348 | 1.5 | 50.8% | 4.8% | .476 |
| Sinker | 19.1% | 91.6 | 2258 | 2.0 | 52.6% | 3.7% | .430 |
| Change | 15.2% | 85.5 | 1551 | 2.9 | 35.9% | 11.6% | .293 |
| Cutter | 7.4% | 86.2 | 2288 | 2.4 | 43.5% | 12.9% | .381 |
Based on 1,984 pitches this season.
Expected & ratesnot in the panels above
Recent formlast 5 starts
Platoon & times-through
Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.