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MLB · NL Central

Alex Bregman

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs3BBats: R · Throws: R
FormHotPowerBelow avg

The read

League-average power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Alex Bregman has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    80%60%67%
  • Over 1.5
    30%30%24%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    20%10%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%17%9%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    60%50%37%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    30%30%19%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    30%23%14%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.244↑

OBP

.334

SLG

.376

OPS

.710

HR

11

K%

16%

Last 10: 14-for-42 (.333) · 1 HR · 8 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 509 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.309
17
Avg Exit V
88.1 mph
48
Barrel %
4.1%
19
Hard-Hit %
46.4%
53
Chase %
21.7%
94
Whiff %
15.4%
89
K %
16.1%
84
BB %
10.6%
77

Where he hits it

27%LF26%LCF14%CF15%RCF9%RF← Pull

49%

Pull

28%

Center

23%

Oppo

Pull-air 35% of BIP · 93.1 mph · 38° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.762OPS132 PA
vs RHP.692OPS377 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball36.206.265.14325.5%38.9%21.3%0.0%84.9 mph16.4°
Changeup44.202.325.34323.4%18.2%38.5%6.5%88.9 mph10.7°
Sinker123.275.293.3334.3%6.5%37.6%2.9%87.6 mph15.0°
Four-seam139.254.401.3077.6%13.7%45.9%3.6%91.8 mph19.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.292
xSLG
.434
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
108.3
EV90
101.3
Launch angle
17.0°
Sweet-spot%
32.6%
Avg distance
285 ft
EV on barrels
102.3
EV on hard-hit
99.7
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
59.8%
O-Contact%
69.1%
Z-Contact%
90.3%
Contact%
84.6%
SwStr%
6.3%
CSW%
27.0%
In-zone%
49.7%
1st-pitch swing%
18.7%
2-strike K%
30.5%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.357
7d K%
16.7%
7d Barrel%
4.5%
7d Whiff%
13.3%
14d xwOBA(con)
.329
14d K%
18.5%
14d Barrel%
2.6%
30d xwOBA(con)
.292
30d K%
18.1%
30d Barrel%
2.6%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.231
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.320
Behind xwOBA(con)
.324
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.310
Ahead Whiff%
11.5%
2-strike Whiff%
14.6%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.342
RISP
.331
Loaded
.056
High leverage
.335
Clutch
.336
Innings 1-3
.303
Innings 4-6
.319
Innings 7+
.307

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.