MLB · NL East

Andrew Alvarez

Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups

Washington NationalsSPBats: L · Throws: L

FormColdStuffAverage

The read

Average swing-and-miss, with strong underlying run prevention.

Strikeout prop

How often Andrew Alvarez has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.

Strikeouts

share of starts cleared

L5L10Season

Over 4.5
60%57%57%
Over 5.5
20%14%14%
Over 6.5
0%0%0%
Over 7.5
0%0%0%

Research any pitcher with the prop-research tool.

On the mound

This season

ERA

4.06

WHIP

1.51

FIP

3.00

xERA

4.52

2-3 · 7 GS · 57.7 IP · 58 K · 28 BB · 2 HR

MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP

Last 5 starts

ERA

4.84

K/9

8.5

FIP

2.83

22.3 IP · 12 ER · 21 K · 12 BB

vKC 4IP 1ER 5K
@TB 4IP 1ER 6K
@BAL 4.1IP 2ER 5K
vHOU 5.2IP 5ER 3K
@COL 4.1IP 3ER 2K

Opponent splits

Stat	vs Lefties	vs Righties
Opp BA	.261	.224
K%	17%	25%
HR allowed	1	1
Sample	69 BF	183 BF

Quality of stuff

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 57.7 IP.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

ERA

4.06

FIP

3.00

xERA

4.52

WHIP

1.51

K %

21.1%

SwStr %

9.2%

Chase %

30.6%

Barrel %

3.3%

Attack zones

21%

Heart

36%

Shadow

24%

Chase

19%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 6.3 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

4-Seam

28%

Sinker

14%

Slider

26%

Curve

28%

Change

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
Curve	28.3%	82.9	2707	4.4	40.6%	14.3%	.326
4-Seam	28.1%	92.4	2318	1.5	46.3%	4.2%	.362
Slider	25.8%	84.0	2660	3.4	43.9%	17.3%	.444
Sinker	14.4%	92.0	2265	2.1	51.0%	6.2%	.431
Change	3.5%	86.4	1790	2.6	28.6%	14.3%	.141

Based on 1,009 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.334

1st-pitch strike%

50.8%

Putaway%

46.0%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

5.03

L5 FIP

3.46

L5 K/9

7.3

L5 BB/9

5.9

L5 HR/9

0.0

Pitches/start

67.3

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.352

vs RHB xwOBA

.327

1st time xwOBA

.301

2nd time xwOBA

.380

3rd time xwOBA

.317

Inn 1-3 ERA

4.04

Inn 4-6 ERA

4.75

Inn 7+ ERA

4.18

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.318

7d K%

15.8%

7d velo

87.7

14d xwOBA

.370

14d K%

12.5%

30d xwOBA

.332

30d K%

16.8%

30d velo

87.7

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.