MLB · NL Central

Brandon Lowe

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Pittsburgh Pirates2BBats: L · Throws: R

FormHotPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Brandon Lowe has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
80%70%67%
Over 1.5▲ hot
40%30%27%
Over 2.5▲ hot
30%13%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%17%19%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
50%43%45%
Over 2.5▲ hot
50%33%30%
Over 3.5▲ hot
50%27%25%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.254↑

OBP

.321

SLG

.487

OPS

.808

27%

Last 10: 15-for-44 (.341) · 2 HR · 13 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 464 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.424

Avg Exit V

90.9 mph

Barrel %

12.3%

Hard-Hit %

51.9%

Chase %

33.4%

Whiff %

32.3%

K %

27.2%

BB %

9.0%

Where he hits it

56%

Pull

25%

Center

19%

Oppo

Pull-air 45% of BIP · 98.9 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.606OPS140 PA

vs RHP.896OPS324 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

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6 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	7	.571	1.000	.488	23.4%	28.6%	64.3%	21.4%	96.7 mph	9.8°
Sinker	11	.500	.606	.326	17.5%	18.2%	59.1%	15.9%	92.0 mph	-7.0°
Cutter	11	.455	.636	.288	30.0%	36.4%	15.9%	0.0%	89.9 mph	11.3°
Four-seam	18	.281	.525	.391	29.1%	33.3%	82.5%	26.2%	99.5 mph	33.0°
Changeup	19	.280	.280	.288	39.5%	26.3%	23.1%	0.0%	86.6 mph	18.0°
Slider	28	.143	.286	.193	43.9%	39.3%	29.2%	4.6%	88.5 mph	19.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.356

xSLG

.647

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

111.1

EV90

105.6

Launch angle

16.6°

Sweet-spot%

36.5%

Avg distance

318 ft

EV on barrels

106.3

EV on hard-hit

101.7

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

70.8%

O-Contact%

42.8%

Z-Contact%

81.9%

Contact%

67.7%

SwStr%

16.3%

CSW%

29.6%

In-zone%

45.4%

1st-pitch swing%

36.4%

2-strike K%

47.0%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.447

7d K%

31.3%

7d Barrel%

15.0%

7d Whiff%

24.6%

14d xwOBA(con)

.419

14d K%

30.2%

14d Barrel%

12.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.416

30d K%

31.6%

30d Barrel%

9.8%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.491

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.420

Behind xwOBA(con)

.463

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.378

Ahead Whiff%

28.9%

2-strike Whiff%

26.6%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.368

RISP

.380

Loaded

.392

High leverage

.362

Clutch

.446

Innings 1-3

.459

Innings 4-6

.385

Innings 7+

.422

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.