MLB · AL East

Brayan Bello

Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups

Boston Red SoxSPBats: R · Throws: R

FormColdStuffAverage

The read

Above-average strikeout stuff, though the run-prevention numbers run shaky.

Strikeout prop

How often Brayan Bello has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.

Strikeouts

share of starts cleared

L5L10Season

Over 4.5▼ cold
0%13%13%
Over 5.5
0%0%0%
Over 6.5
0%0%0%
Over 7.5
0%0%0%

Research any pitcher with the prop-research tool.

On the mound

This season

ERA

6.34

WHIP

1.67

FIP

4.97

xERA

6.06

2-6 · 8 GS · 61.0 IP · 44 K · 24 BB · 10 HR

MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP

Last 5 starts

ERA

13.29

K/9

5.6

FIP

8.53

21.0 IP · 31 ER · 13 K · 12 BB

vDET 4IP 4ER 4K
@BAL 3.1IP 8ER 2K
@TOR 3.2IP 4ER 2K
@ATL 5IP 7ER 1K
vBAL 5IP 8ER 4K

Opponent splits

Stat	vs Lefties	vs Righties
Opp BA	.274	.280
K%	13%	20%
HR allowed	8	2
Sample	164 BF	118 BF

Quality of stuff

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 61.0 IP.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

ERA

6.34

FIP

4.97

xERA

6.06

WHIP

1.67

K %

14.1%

SwStr %

11.0%

Chase %

—

Barrel %

—

Attack zones

24%

Heart

39%

Shadow

24%

Chase

13%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 6.2 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

4-Seam

Sinker

42%

Cutter

15%

Curve

Change

18%

Other

13%

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
Sinker	41.6%	94.9	2014	2.0	51.2%	6.1%	.396
Change	18.0%	88.6	1747	2.5	38.2%	14.6%	.371
Cutter	15.5%	87.2	2332	2.8	55.0%	22.8%	.556
4-Seam	6.1%	94.7	2026	1.6	41.8%	6.0%	.745
Curve	5.8%	83.4	2439	4.0	42.2%	10.9%	.481

Based on 1,104 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.371

1st-pitch strike%

63.2%

Putaway%

35.5%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

6.48

L5 FIP

3.90

L5 K/9

7.2

L5 BB/9

2.5

L5 HR/9

1.1

Pitches/start

84.9

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.400

vs RHB xwOBA

.331

1st time xwOBA

.411

2nd time xwOBA

.335

3rd time xwOBA

.361

Inn 1-3 ERA

5.26

Inn 4-6 ERA

4.95

Inn 7+ ERA

1.70

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.207

7d K%

35.7%

7d velo

90.3

14d xwOBA

.207

14d K%

35.7%

30d xwOBA

.207

30d K%

35.7%

30d velo

90.3

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Brayan Bello UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts

Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves · May 17, 2026 · -210

WIN

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.