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MLB · NL East

Bryce Harper

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Philadelphia Phillies1BBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Bryce Harper has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    80%63%60%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    10%7%20%
  • Over 2.5
    0%0%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    30%17%20%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    60%43%41%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    50%27%31%
  • Over 3.5
    30%17%23%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.252

OBP

.354

SLG

.496

OPS

.851

HR

24

K%

21%

Last 10: 9-for-35 (.257) · 3 HR · 9 K · 7 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 480 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.451
95
Avg Exit V
90.3 mph
79
Barrel %
11.8%
84
Hard-Hit %
52.0%
72
Chase %
34.4%
28
Whiff %
28.7%
19
K %
21.5%
55
BB %
14.0%
95

Where he hits it

10%LF15%LCF20%CF20%RCF27%RFPull →

47%

Pull

30%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 22% of BIP · 98.9 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.641OPS185 PA
vs RHP.977OPS295 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter24.143.333.40525.0%12.5%55.0%15.0%90.8 mph18.6°
Curveball28.192.308.24735.2%21.4%35.0%0.0%87.5 mph20.7°
Sinker34.259.481.38715.2%23.5%55.0%10.0%91.8 mph-2.3°
Slider55.319.808.45443.6%23.6%52.9%23.5%92.9 mph21.3°
Four-seam76.4101.016.57617.2%17.1%57.1%20.4%96.0 mph15.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.371
xSLG
.690
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.5
EV90
106.7
Launch angle
12.6°
Sweet-spot%
38.2%
Avg distance
321 ft
EV on barrels
105.7
EV on hard-hit
102.4
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
74.3%
O-Contact%
51.5%
Z-Contact%
83.9%
Contact%
71.3%
SwStr%
14.6%
CSW%
24.6%
In-zone%
41.9%
1st-pitch swing%
48.1%
2-strike K%
41.7%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.616
7d K%
28.0%
7d Barrel%
14.3%
7d Whiff%
27.1%
14d xwOBA(con)
.548
14d K%
29.4%
14d Barrel%
17.9%
30d xwOBA(con)
.393
30d K%
26.5%
30d Barrel%
10.3%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.409
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.554
Behind xwOBA(con)
.445
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.430
Ahead Whiff%
25.5%
2-strike Whiff%
23.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.375
RISP
.353
Loaded
.520
High leverage
.363
Clutch
.420
Innings 1-3
.430
Innings 4-6
.446
Innings 7+
.485

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.