MLB · AL East

Caleb Durbin

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Caleb Durbin has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%67%55%
Over 1.5▲ hot
40%30%23%
Over 2.5
10%7%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
0%13%9%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
50%47%35%
Over 2.5
20%30%23%
Over 3.5▼ cold
0%13%9%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.238↑

OBP

.305

SLG

.388

OPS

.693

14%

Last 10: 11-for-40 (.275) · 0 HR · 6 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 384 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.283

Avg Exit V

82.4 mph

Barrel %

2.4%

Hard-Hit %

31.6%

Chase %

28.7%

Whiff %

13.5%

K %

13.5%

BB %

6.8%

Where he hits it

46%

Pull

30%

Center

25%

Oppo

Pull-air 37% of BIP · 92.3 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.713OPS106 PA

vs RHP.685OPS278 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	30	.333	.678	.267	13.0%	13.3%	29.8%	0.0%	84.2 mph	5.0°
Changeup	36	.177	.296	.239	29.5%	19.4%	23.1%	2.8%	78.8 mph	2.4°
Slider	76	.229	.386	.239	24.1%	18.4%	16.1%	1.4%	80.2 mph	18.4°
Sinker	107	.258	.317	.294	5.6%	6.5%	29.8%	0.9%	82.5 mph	2.8°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.275

xSLG

.378

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

107.9

EV90

100.2

Launch angle

11.1°

Sweet-spot%

29.3%

Avg distance

240 ft

EV on barrels

103.3

EV on hard-hit

100.0

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

65.7%

O-Contact%

73.5%

Z-Contact%

92.2%

Contact%

86.5%

SwStr%

6.4%

CSW%

23.7%

In-zone%

50.2%

1st-pitch swing%

33.3%

2-strike K%

28.3%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.245

7d K%

10.0%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

10.9%

14d xwOBA(con)

.222

14d K%

11.1%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.268

30d K%

10.4%

30d Barrel%

1.2%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.242

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.363

Behind xwOBA(con)

.274

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.279

Ahead Whiff%

12.2%

2-strike Whiff%

10.8%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.287

RISP

.403

Loaded

.313

High leverage

.318

Clutch

.248

Innings 1-3

.274

Innings 4-6

.296

Innings 7+

.277

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.