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MLB · AL East

Caleb Durbin

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Caleb Durbin has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%63%54%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%27%22%
  • Over 2.5
    10%7%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    0%13%9%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%43%35%
  • Over 2.5
    20%27%22%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    0%13%9%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.238↑

OBP

.305

SLG

.388

OPS

.693

HR

10

K%

14%

Last 10: 11-for-40 (.275) · 0 HR · 6 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 384 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.283
7
Avg Exit V
82.4 mph
4
Barrel %
2.4%
8
Hard-Hit %
31.6%
9
Chase %
28.7%
61
Whiff %
13.5%
95
K %
13.5%
93
BB %
6.8%
33

Where he hits it

26%LF23%LCF17%CF18%RCF8%RF← Pull

46%

Pull

30%

Center

25%

Oppo

Pull-air 37% of BIP · 92.3 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.713OPS106 PA
vs RHP.685OPS278 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball41.0001.000.51918.8%0.0%100.0%0.0%98.5 mph1.3°
Cutter10.440.900.30718.0%0.0%28.0%0.0%83.6 mph11.2°
Slider17.373.614.31311.3%11.8%13.4%0.0%76.7 mph19.0°
Sinker25.257.297.2804.8%8.0%18.0%0.0%75.3 mph1.3°
Four-seam34.110.204.3215.8%17.6%14.7%3.7%83.2 mph30.4°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.275
xSLG
.378
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
107.9
EV90
100.2
Launch angle
11.1°
Sweet-spot%
29.3%
Avg distance
240 ft
EV on barrels
103.3
EV on hard-hit
100.0
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
65.7%
O-Contact%
73.5%
Z-Contact%
92.2%
Contact%
86.5%
SwStr%
6.4%
CSW%
23.7%
In-zone%
50.2%
1st-pitch swing%
33.3%
2-strike K%
28.3%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.245
7d K%
10.0%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
10.9%
14d xwOBA(con)
.222
14d K%
11.1%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.268
30d K%
10.4%
30d Barrel%
1.2%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.242
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.363
Behind xwOBA(con)
.274
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.279
Ahead Whiff%
12.2%
2-strike Whiff%
10.8%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.287
RISP
.403
Loaded
.313
High leverage
.318
Clutch
.248
Innings 1-3
.274
Innings 4-6
.296
Innings 7+
.277

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.