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MLB · AL East

Caleb Durbin

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R
FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Caleb Durbin has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    80%63%56%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%30%23%
  • Over 2.5
    10%7%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%13%9%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%43%35%
  • Over 2.5
    30%27%23%
  • Over 3.5
    10%13%9%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.243↑

OBP

.312

SLG

.397

OPS

.709

HR

11

K%

13%

Last 10: 13-for-37 (.351) · 1 HR · 3 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 397 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.288
8
Avg Exit V
82.5 mph
5
Barrel %
2.6%
10
Hard-Hit %
31.9%
10
Chase %
28.5%
62
Whiff %
13.2%
95
K %
13.1%
94
BB %
7.0%
36

Where he hits it

25%LF23%LCF16%CF18%RCF9%RF← Pull

45%

Pull

30%

Center

25%

Oppo

Pull-air 39% of BIP · 92.8 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.719OPS108 PA
vs RHP.705OPS289 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball41.0001.000.51918.8%0.0%100.0%0.0%98.5 mph1.3°
Cutter10.400.800.2386.7%0.0%26.0%0.0%83.4 mph16.0°
Slider19.330.545.29611.7%10.5%11.9%0.0%76.2 mph13.6°
Four-seam33.180.180.2978.8%18.2%21.5%0.0%81.9 mph30.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.279
xSLG
.386
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
107.9
EV90
100.2
Launch angle
10.7°
Sweet-spot%
30.0%
Avg distance
239 ft
EV on barrels
103.1
EV on hard-hit
100.0
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
65.1%
O-Contact%
74.2%
Z-Contact%
92.3%
Contact%
86.8%
SwStr%
6.2%
CSW%
23.9%
In-zone%
50.0%
1st-pitch swing%
32.8%
2-strike K%
27.5%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.267
7d K%
0.0%
7d Barrel%
4.8%
7d Whiff%
5.9%
14d xwOBA(con)
.292
14d K%
11.8%
14d Barrel%
2.8%
30d xwOBA(con)
.284
30d K%
9.4%
30d Barrel%
1.2%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.245
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.369
Behind xwOBA(con)
.274
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.281
Ahead Whiff%
11.9%
2-strike Whiff%
10.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.287
RISP
.409
Loaded
.500
High leverage
.326
Clutch
.248
Innings 1-3
.285
Innings 4-6
.293
Innings 7+
.283

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.