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MLB · AL Central

Carter Jensen

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Kansas City RoyalsCBats: L · Throws: R
FormColdPowerAverage

The read

Above-average power, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Carter Jensen has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    40%50%58%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    10%17%19%
  • Over 2.5
    0%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%13%14%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%43%37%
  • Over 2.5
    20%27%23%
  • Over 3.5
    10%20%18%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.227↓

OBP

.299

SLG

.414

OPS

.713

HR

15

K%

30%

Last 10: 5-for-36 (.139) · 1 HR · 16 K · 6 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 425 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.354
47
Avg Exit V
90.6 mph
82
Barrel %
9.8%
70
Hard-Hit %
46.5%
53
Chase %
26.1%
75
Whiff %
27.2%
24
K %
29.6%
15
BB %
9.4%
64

Where he hits it

11%LF15%LCF18%CF16%RCF23%RFPull →

45%

Pull

24%

Center

31%

Oppo

Pull-air 29% of BIP · 96.2 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.672OPS113 PA
vs RHP.729OPS312 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

3 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball13.085.171.17338.5%46.2%83.3%0.0%94.4 mph18.7°
Changeup18.267.600.36819.5%11.1%38.5%7.7%88.8 mph17.4°
Slider25.180.360.28522.2%24.0%37.0%19.0%88.1 mph23.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.303
xSLG
.536
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.7
EV90
106.3
Launch angle
21.0°
Sweet-spot%
32.4%
Avg distance
328 ft
EV on barrels
104.5
EV on hard-hit
102.7
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
66.8%
O-Contact%
47.7%
Z-Contact%
83.7%
Contact%
72.8%
SwStr%
12.3%
CSW%
28.3%
In-zone%
47.1%
1st-pitch swing%
32.5%
2-strike K%
52.3%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.289
7d K%
29.6%
7d Barrel%
14.3%
7d Whiff%
35.7%
14d xwOBA(con)
.334
14d K%
39.2%
14d Barrel%
12.5%
30d xwOBA(con)
.313
30d K%
35.2%
30d Barrel%
11.3%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.422
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.337
Behind xwOBA(con)
.354
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.353
Ahead Whiff%
25.5%
2-strike Whiff%
30.8%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.304
RISP
.276
Loaded
.336
High leverage
.336
Clutch
.314
Innings 1-3
.334
Innings 4-6
.368
Innings 7+
.364

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.