MLB · AL Central

Casey Mize

Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups

Detroit TigersSPBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyStuffAbove avg

The read

Above-average strikeout stuff, with strong underlying run prevention.

Strikeout prop

How often Casey Mize has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.

Strikeouts

share of starts cleared

L5L10Season

Over 4.5
60%50%56%
Over 5.5▼ cold
20%30%38%
Over 6.5
20%10%25%
Over 7.5
20%10%13%

Research any pitcher with the prop-research tool.

On the mound

This season

ERA

2.70

WHIP

0.99

FIP

2.55

xERA

3.08

4-6 · 16 GS · 86.7 IP · 85 K · 19 BB · 5 HR

MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP

Last 5 starts

ERA

2.20

K/9

8.5

FIP

2.19

28.7 IP · 7 ER · 27 K · 5 BB

@NYY 7IP 0ER 10K
@TEX 6.2IP 2ER 4K
vPHI 5.2IP 3ER 5K
@LAA 3.1IP 1ER 5K
vKC 6IP 1ER 3K

Opponent splits

Stat	vs Lefties	vs Righties
Opp BA	.181	.216
K%	25%	24%
HR allowed	1	4
Sample	193 BF	148 BF

Quality of stuff

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 86.7 IP.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

ERA

2.70

FIP

2.55

xERA

3.08

WHIP

0.99

K %

25.0%

SwStr %

11.9%

Chase %

29.3%

Barrel %

6.5%

Attack zones

23%

Heart

40%

Shadow

25%

Chase

13%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 6.8 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

4-Seam

34%

Sinker

11%

Slider

26%

Other

29%

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
4-Seam	34.4%	93.5	2264	1.1	49.3%	10.3%	.304
Slider	26.2%	87.7	2237	2.5	58.8%	11.6%	.363
Sinker	10.7%	93.6	2303	1.4	59.6%	8.5%	.335

Based on 1,318 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.269

1st-pitch strike%

65.0%

Putaway%

46.5%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

2.54

L5 FIP

2.18

L5 K/9

8.6

L5 BB/9

1.6

L5 HR/9

0.3

Pitches/start

82.4

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.232

vs RHB xwOBA

.318

1st time xwOBA

.258

2nd time xwOBA

.297

3rd time xwOBA

.239

Inn 1-3 ERA

3.64

Inn 4-6 ERA

3.44

Inn 7+ ERA

1.89

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.247

7d K%

21.6%

7d velo

89.8

14d xwOBA

.247

14d K%

21.6%

30d xwOBA

.232

30d K%

24.6%

30d velo

90.1

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.