MLB · AL East

Ceddanne Rafaela

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red SoxOFBats: R · Throws: R

FormHotPowerBelow avg

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Ceddanne Rafaela has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
90%83%75%
Over 1.5▲ hot
60%43%29%
Over 2.5
10%3%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
50%20%12%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
70%63%48%
Over 2.5▲ hot
70%33%24%
Over 3.5▲ hot
50%20%16%

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At a glance

AVG

.286↑

OBP

.326

SLG

.468

OPS

.794

20%

Last 10: 16-for-47 (.340) · 6 HR · 11 K · 0 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 436 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.333

Avg Exit V

86.3 mph

Barrel %

5.6%

Hard-Hit %

38.6%

Chase %

42.0%

Whiff %

22.6%

K %

20.2%

BB %

4.1%

Where he hits it

39%

Pull

23%

Center

39%

Oppo

Pull-air 25% of BIP · 95.7 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.856OPS123 PA

vs RHP.770OPS313 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	41	.323	.457	.298	22.4%	9.8%	35.9%	3.1%	86.6 mph	15.0°
Sinker	80	.306	.400	.357	11.0%	13.7%	36.1%	4.2%	84.2 mph	2.7°
Slider	91	.306	.595	.274	26.1%	18.7%	30.2%	7.4%	85.1 mph	16.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.314

xSLG

.461

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.9

EV90

101.4

Launch angle

11.6°

Sweet-spot%

37.6%

Avg distance

314 ft

EV on barrels

101.3

EV on hard-hit

100.2

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.8%

O-Contact%

64.7%

Z-Contact%

85.6%

Contact%

77.4%

SwStr%

12.5%

CSW%

27.6%

In-zone%

48.0%

1st-pitch swing%

39.9%

2-strike K%

35.6%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.478

7d K%

26.7%

7d Barrel%

13.6%

7d Whiff%

24.6%

14d xwOBA(con)

.382

14d K%

23.6%

14d Barrel%

9.5%

30d xwOBA(con)

.358

30d K%

21.4%

30d Barrel%

7.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.351

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.324

Behind xwOBA(con)

.333

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.329

Ahead Whiff%

20.6%

2-strike Whiff%

17.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.337

RISP

.410

Loaded

.522

High leverage

.371

Clutch

.380

Innings 1-3

.314

Innings 4-6

.345

Innings 7+

.342

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Ceddanne Rafaela OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers · Aug 2, 2026 · +163

WIN

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