MLB · NL Central
Chase Burns
Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups

The read
Elite swing-and-miss stuff, with strong underlying run prevention.
Strikeout prop
How often Chase Burns has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.
Strikeouts
share of starts cleared- Over 4.5▼ cold40%70%70%
- Over 5.5▼ cold40%70%70%
- Over 6.5▼ cold20%60%65%
- Over 7.5▼ cold20%30%35%
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On the mound
This season
ERA
2.35
WHIP
1.10
FIP
3.30
xERA
3.19
MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.33
K/9
8.3
FIP
3.77
HR
2
- @MIL 6IP 2ER 4K
- vPHI 5IP 3ER 2K
- @SEA 5IP 0ER 6K
- vCLE 5IP 1ER 4K
- vPIT 6IP 1ER 9K
Opponent splits
| Stat | vs Lefties | vs Righties |
|---|---|---|
| Opp BA | .188 | .185 |
| K% | 29% | 26% |
| HR allowed | 11 | 2 |
| Sample | 287 BF | 168 BF |
Quality of stuff
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 118.7 IP.
Attack zones
20%
Heart
37%
Shadow
25%
Chase
19%
Waste
Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 6.3 ft extension
Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.
Full Statcast profile
Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Spin | Break | Zone% | SwStr% | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam | 56.6% | 97.7 | 2622 | 0.8 | 51.5% | 7.1% | .329 |
| Slider | 37.8% | 90.3 | 2761 | 2.8 | 35.5% | 25.3% | .346 |
| Change | 5.5% | 90.0 | 1861 | 2.0 | 25.2% | 12.6% | .491 |
Based on 1,857 pitches this season.
Expected & ratesnot in the panels above
Recent formlast 5 starts
Platoon & times-through
Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.