MLB · AL East
Connelly Early
Betting stats, pitch arsenal, opponent splits & prop matchups
The read
Above-average strikeout stuff.
Strikeout prop
How often Connelly Early has cleared each strikeout line over his last 5 and 10 starts and the season.
Strikeouts
share of starts cleared- Over 4.5▲ hot80%90%71%
- Over 5.5▲ hot60%70%47%
- Over 6.5▲ hot40%40%24%
- Over 7.5▲ hot20%20%12%
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On the mound
This season
ERA
3.59
WHIP
1.25
FIP
4.41
xERA
4.30
MLB avg · 4.20 ERA · 1.30 WHIP · 4.15 FIP
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.06
K/9
10.5
FIP
4.82
HR
6
- vBAL 5.1IP 4ER 6K
- @TB 4.2IP 2ER 6K
- vTEX 4.2IP 6ER 3K
- @SEA 6IP 1ER 7K
- vNYY 6IP 2ER 9K
Opponent splits
| Stat | vs Lefties | vs Righties |
|---|---|---|
| Opp BA | .176 | .220 |
| K% | 27% | 22% |
| HR allowed | 4 | 11 |
| Sample | 102 BF | 273 BF |
Quality of stuff
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB pitchers (20+ IP) this season. The dot is this player; further right is better. Over 87.7 IP.
Attack zones
22%
Heart
38%
Shadow
27%
Chase
13%
Waste
Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 6.7 ft extension
Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.
Full Statcast profile
Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Spin | Break | Zone% | SwStr% | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam | 35.1% | 94.0 | 2336 | 1.3 | 52.0% | 11.0% | .407 |
| Sinker | 19.9% | 92.4 | 2167 | 2.0 | 49.7% | 3.3% | .365 |
| Change | 18.3% | 83.7 | 1269 | 3.5 | 37.3% | 11.8% | .368 |
| Curve | 10.9% | 80.0 | 2404 | 4.4 | 40.1% | 9.0% | .511 |
| Slider | 8.0% | 87.1 | 2303 | 2.5 | 55.3% | 13.0% | .340 |
Based on 1,529 pitches this season.
Expected & ratesnot in the panels above
Recent formlast 5 starts
Platoon & times-through
Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.