MLB · NL East

Derek Hill

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Philadelphia PhilliesOFBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Derek Hill has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
20%43%39%
Over 1.5
0%10%4%
Over 2.5
0%3%1%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
20%17%11%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
20%23%15%
Over 2.5
20%20%12%
Over 3.5▲ hot
20%17%11%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.237

OBP

.293

SLG

.434

OPS

.727

35%

Last 10: 6-for-28 (.214) · 3 HR · 11 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 164 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.435

Avg Exit V

84.4 mph

Barrel %

11.7%

Hard-Hit %

39.4%

Chase %

33.9%

Whiff %

32.6%

K %

35.4%

BB %

6.7%

Where he hits it

45%

Pull

23%

Center

32%

Oppo

Pull-air 42% of BIP · 96.3 mph · 31° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.709OPS101 PA

vs RHP.754OPS63 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	6	.000	.000	.157	52.9%	66.7%	33.3%	0.0%	75.6 mph	-11.0°
Changeup	23	.232	.371	.313	37.5%	30.4%	27.5%	5.0%	78.7 mph	0.1°
Sinker	23	.163	.163	.198	22.2%	39.1%	21.6%	0.0%	79.3 mph	4.1°
Slider	39	.295	.541	.322	33.5%	33.3%	32.9%	11.8%	84.3 mph	12.5°
Four-seam	52	.300	.597	.358	31.4%	34.6%	44.8%	18.1%	89.4 mph	18.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.378

xSLG

.644

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.8

EV90

103.0

Launch angle

12.8°

Sweet-spot%

43.6%

Avg distance

323 ft

EV on barrels

103.7

EV on hard-hit

100.8

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.6%

O-Contact%

48.3%

Z-Contact%

77.9%

Contact%

67.4%

SwStr%

16.5%

CSW%

31.2%

In-zone%

46.8%

1st-pitch swing%

42.1%

2-strike K%

58.0%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.345

7d K%

0.0%

7d Barrel%

20.0%

7d Whiff%

14.3%

14d xwOBA(con)

.226

14d K%

15.4%

14d Barrel%

10.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.475

30d K%

35.9%

30d Barrel%

13.6%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.384

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.379

Behind xwOBA(con)

.498

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.386

Ahead Whiff%

31.0%

2-strike Whiff%

34.5%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.346

RISP

.275

Loaded

.725

High leverage

.301

Clutch

.469

Innings 1-3

.361

Innings 4-6

.461

Innings 7+

.467

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Derek Hill UNDER 0.5 Hits

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 7, 2026 · +126

LOSS

Derek Hill OVER 0.5 Hits

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers · Jun 13, 2026 · +102

WIN

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.