MLB · NL East

Derek Hill

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Philadelphia PhilliesOFBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Derek Hill has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
20%43%38%
Over 1.5
0%10%4%
Over 2.5
0%3%1%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%13%10%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
10%20%14%
Over 2.5
10%17%11%
Over 3.5
10%13%10%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.235↓

OBP

.292

SLG

.416

OPS

.708

36%

Last 10: 5-for-26 (.192) · 2 HR · 11 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 161 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.437

Avg Exit V

84.1 mph

Barrel %

11.0%

Hard-Hit %

39.6%

Chase %

34.0%

Whiff %

32.9%

K %

36.0%

BB %

6.8%

Where he hits it

45%

Pull

23%

Center

32%

Oppo

Pull-air 39% of BIP · 96.0 mph · 31° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.678OPS98 PA

vs RHP.754OPS63 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Sinker	22	.170	.170	.196	22.6%	40.9%	23.9%	0.0%	78.5 mph	4.7°
Changeup	23	.232	.371	.313	37.5%	30.4%	27.5%	5.0%	78.7 mph	0.1°
Slider	38	.274	.440	.310	34.0%	34.2%	29.8%	7.8%	83.7 mph	11.9°
Four-seam	51	.306	.610	.362	31.8%	35.3%	46.1%	18.6%	89.3 mph	18.2°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.382

xSLG

.645

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.8

EV90

103.0

Launch angle

12.6°

Sweet-spot%

42.9%

Avg distance

325 ft

EV on barrels

104.1

EV on hard-hit

100.9

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.5%

O-Contact%

48.3%

Z-Contact%

77.6%

Contact%

67.1%

SwStr%

16.6%

CSW%

31.3%

In-zone%

46.5%

1st-pitch swing%

42.2%

2-strike K%

58.0%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.227

7d K%

25.0%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

28.6%

14d xwOBA(con)

.377

14d K%

37.5%

14d Barrel%

12.5%

30d xwOBA(con)

.492

30d K%

38.9%

30d Barrel%

10.5%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.404

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.386

Behind xwOBA(con)

.489

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.386

Ahead Whiff%

31.4%

2-strike Whiff%

34.5%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.351

RISP

.283

Loaded

.300

High leverage

.292

Clutch

.456

Innings 1-3

.371

Innings 4-6

.470

Innings 7+

.460

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Derek Hill UNDER 0.5 Hits

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 7, 2026 · +126

LOSS

Derek Hill OVER 0.5 Hits

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers · Jun 13, 2026 · +102

WIN

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