MLB · NL Central

Esmerlyn Valdez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Pittsburgh PiratesOFBats: R · Throws: R

FormColdPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Esmerlyn Valdez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
40%73%62%
Over 1.5▼ cold
10%27%21%
Over 2.5
0%10%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
10%37%31%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
30%60%52%
Over 2.5▼ cold
10%43%38%
Over 3.5▼ cold
10%43%36%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.268↓

OBP

.369

SLG

.641

OPS

1.010

34%

Last 10: 5-for-34 (.147) · 1 HR · 11 K · 10 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 168 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.507

Avg Exit V

92.4 mph

Barrel %

24.1%

100

Hard-Hit %

59.8%

Chase %

22.8%

Whiff %

35.3%

K %

33.9%

BB %

13.7%

Where he hits it

37%

Pull

33%

Center

30%

Oppo

Pull-air 38% of BIP · 100.6 mph · 38° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP1.266OPS61 PA

vs RHP.869OPS107 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	6	.333	.833	.248	26.7%	50.0%	66.7%	33.3%	97.9 mph	32.0°
Cutter	10	.300	1.000	.465	30.0%	30.0%	75.0%	33.3%	100.2 mph	28.3°
Sinker	31	.501	.968	.478	23.5%	19.4%	51.6%	21.0%	90.9 mph	10.9°
Slider	36	.278	.787	.387	35.2%	27.8%	35.1%	35.1%	86.3 mph	21.6°
Four-seam	52	.244	.596	.341	40.4%	42.3%	68.8%	25.1%	98.3 mph	34.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.369

xSLG

.870

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.7

EV90

106.7

Launch angle

22.0°

Sweet-spot%

35.6%

Avg distance

358 ft

EV on barrels

104.9

EV on hard-hit

102.8

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

67.4%

O-Contact%

48.3%

Z-Contact%

71.1%

Contact%

64.7%

SwStr%

15.4%

CSW%

30.7%

In-zone%

46.7%

1st-pitch swing%

29.8%

2-strike K%

57.0%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.324

7d K%

13.8%

7d Barrel%

10.5%

7d Whiff%

30.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.426

14d K%

27.3%

14d Barrel%

15.4%

30d xwOBA(con)

.458

30d K%

34.6%

30d Barrel%

20.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.477

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.380

Behind xwOBA(con)

.470

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.416

Ahead Whiff%

32.0%

2-strike Whiff%

34.5%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.394

RISP

.523

Loaded

.512

High leverage

.435

Clutch

.541

Innings 1-3

.507

Innings 4-6

.433

Innings 7+

.584

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.