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MLB · NL Central

JJ Bleday

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cincinnati RedsOFBats: L · Throws: L
FormColdPowerAbove avg

The read

Above-average power. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often JJ Bleday has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    50%67%63%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    0%3%14%
  • Over 2.5
    0%0%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    20%20%22%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    20%20%37%
  • Over 2.5
    20%20%27%
  • Over 3.5
    20%20%24%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.226↓

OBP

.337

SLG

.461

OPS

.798

HR

19

K%

21%

Last 10: 6-for-37 (.162) · 3 HR · 12 K · 9 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 350 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.406
79
Avg Exit V
88.3 mph
51
Barrel %
10.2%
72
Hard-Hit %
51.6%
72
Chase %
22.8%
89
Whiff %
24.6%
38
K %
20.9%
59
BB %
14.0%
96

Where he hits it

7%LF12%LCF22%CF23%RCF26%RFPull →

51%

Pull

31%

Center

18%

Oppo

Pull-air 44% of BIP · 95.5 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.727OPS90 PA
vs RHP.824OPS260 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

2 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter19.222.611.4027.5%21.1%50.0%14.3%90.1 mph11.5°
Slider66.229.529.26131.0%30.3%41.2%5.5%88.1 mph28.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.340
xSLG
.610
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.6
EV90
104.3
Launch angle
20.7°
Sweet-spot%
42.2%
Avg distance
344 ft
EV on barrels
104.6
EV on hard-hit
101.7
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
70.4%
O-Contact%
51.2%
Z-Contact%
83.6%
Contact%
75.4%
SwStr%
11.3%
CSW%
25.4%
In-zone%
48.2%
1st-pitch swing%
37.7%
2-strike K%
38.5%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.479
7d K%
25.0%
7d Barrel%
20.0%
7d Whiff%
19.1%
14d xwOBA(con)
.445
14d K%
26.4%
14d Barrel%
16.7%
30d xwOBA(con)
.404
30d K%
23.0%
30d Barrel%
13.1%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.343
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.484
Behind xwOBA(con)
.365
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.326
Ahead Whiff%
18.4%
2-strike Whiff%
23.3%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.393
RISP
.324
Loaded
.313
High leverage
.367
Clutch
.433
Innings 1-3
.407
Innings 4-6
.387
Innings 7+
.429

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

JJ Bleday OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 31, 2026 · +164

WIN

JJ Bleday OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds · Jun 1, 2026 · +117

WIN

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