MLB · NL Central

José Fermín

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

St. Louis CardinalsOFBats: R · Throws: R

FormColdPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often José Fermín has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
40%47%51%
Over 1.5
10%13%13%
Over 2.5
0%0%1%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%7%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
20%20%23%
Over 2.5
20%17%14%
Over 3.5
10%10%8%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.237↓

OBP

.297

SLG

.355

OPS

.653

13%

Last 10: 5-for-34 (.147) · 1 HR · 3 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 232 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.302

Avg Exit V

86.4 mph

Barrel %

2.2%

Hard-Hit %

41.7%

Chase %

22.3%

Whiff %

11.1%

K %

12.9%

BB %

7.8%

Where he hits it

55%

Pull

28%

Center

17%

Oppo

Pull-air 49% of BIP · 93.4 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.747OPS111 PA

vs RHP.568OPS121 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

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3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	11	.273	.364	.356	6.7%	18.2%	30.0%	0.0%	80.8 mph	10.7°
Cutter	17	.247	.306	.303	18.7%	17.6%	25.9%	0.0%	81.3 mph	23.1°
Slider	45	.181	.283	.263	16.0%	24.4%	39.4%	3.0%	84.8 mph	15.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.294

xSLG

.408

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.3

EV90

99.4

Launch angle

16.6°

Sweet-spot%

34.4%

Avg distance

276 ft

EV on barrels

100.4

EV on hard-hit

99.1

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

57.5%

O-Contact%

77.9%

Z-Contact%

93.1%

Contact%

88.9%

SwStr%

4.4%

CSW%

26.8%

In-zone%

50.6%

1st-pitch swing%

23.7%

2-strike K%

24.2%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.396

7d K%

13.0%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

3.2%

14d xwOBA(con)

.328

14d K%

9.1%

14d Barrel%

2.9%

30d xwOBA(con)

.316

30d K%

10.8%

30d Barrel%

3.1%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.354

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.305

Behind xwOBA(con)

.255

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.291

Ahead Whiff%

12.0%

2-strike Whiff%

9.2%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.317

RISP

.278

Loaded

.508

High leverage

.313

Clutch

.322

Innings 1-3

.308

Innings 4-6

.353

Innings 7+

.256

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.