MLB · AL West

Josh Naylor

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Seattle Mariners1BBats: L · Throws: L

FormSteadyPowerBelow avg

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Josh Naylor has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
70%70%68%
Over 1.5▲ hot
40%27%28%
Over 2.5
0%3%6%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%0%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
60%37%36%
Over 2.5
10%10%18%
Over 3.5
0%0%7%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.257↑

OBP

.317

SLG

.351

OPS

.667

13%

Last 10: 11-for-38 (.289) · 0 HR · 7 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 464 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.331

Avg Exit V

87.3 mph

Barrel %

4.4%

Hard-Hit %

43.0%

Chase %

37.4%

Whiff %

16.6%

K %

12.5%

BB %

7.3%

Where he hits it

46%

Pull

29%

Center

25%

Oppo

Pull-air 31% of BIP · 91.6 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.682OPS139 PA

vs RHP.661OPS325 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	33	.189	.283	.239	30.1%	30.3%	47.9%	3.7%	85.0 mph	7.0°
Changeup	74	.195	.195	.311	23.9%	13.5%	35.7%	1.7%	85.9 mph	5.4°
Sinker	84	.309	.371	.335	6.0%	4.8%	41.4%	1.3%	89.7 mph	0.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.318

xSLG

.451

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

111.5

EV90

103.2

Launch angle

12.5°

Sweet-spot%

35.3%

Avg distance

239 ft

EV on barrels

102.5

EV on hard-hit

100.5

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.6%

O-Contact%

73.0%

Z-Contact%

90.5%

Contact%

83.4%

SwStr%

8.5%

CSW%

21.7%

In-zone%

43.6%

1st-pitch swing%

38.8%

2-strike K%

31.7%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.316

7d K%

16.7%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

15.2%

14d xwOBA(con)

.326

14d K%

16.3%

14d Barrel%

2.8%

30d xwOBA(con)

.318

30d K%

12.1%

30d Barrel%

2.6%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.298

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.343

Behind xwOBA(con)

.345

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.334

Ahead Whiff%

12.0%

2-strike Whiff%

17.9%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.315

RISP

.325

Loaded

.180

High leverage

.302

Clutch

.358

Innings 1-3

.330

Innings 4-6

.291

Innings 7+

.372

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Josh Naylor OVER 0.5 Hits

San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners · Jul 19, 2026 · -143

WIN

Josh Naylor OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners · Jun 20, 2026 · +165

WIN

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