MLB · AL West

Josh Naylor

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Seattle Mariners1BBats: L · Throws: L

FormSteadyPowerBelow avg

The read

League-average power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Josh Naylor has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
70%70%66%
Over 1.5▼ cold
20%30%28%
Over 2.5
0%3%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%10%10%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
50%43%37%
Over 2.5
20%23%20%
Over 3.5
10%10%11%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.253

OBP

.307

SLG

.367

OPS

.674

13%

Last 10: 9-for-39 (.231) · 1 HR · 5 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 322 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.340

Avg Exit V

87.8 mph

Barrel %

5.2%

Hard-Hit %

46.6%

Chase %

35.8%

Whiff %

16.8%

K %

13.0%

BB %

6.8%

Where he hits it

50%

Pull

28%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 39% of BIP · 92.6 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.668OPS92 PA

vs RHP.677OPS230 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	95	.296	.476	.361	7.6%	6.3%	32.0%	6.0%	88.3 mph	20.4°
Sinker	57	.238	.290	.290	7.1%	5.3%	46.2%	0.0%	89.7 mph	-1.1°
Slider	56	.211	.366	.281	33.4%	26.8%	49.7%	11.6%	86.6 mph	17.3°
Changeup	51	.241	.241	.350	22.9%	11.8%	35.8%	2.4%	85.7 mph	9.4°
Cutter	30	.346	.500	.395	10.0%	10.0%	33.3%	8.3%	88.5 mph	24.6°
Curveball	19	.158	.263	.235	20.8%	26.3%	35.3%	5.9%	85.2 mph	14.4°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.319

xSLG

.475

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

111.5

EV90

103.1

Launch angle

13.9°

Sweet-spot%

33.9%

Avg distance

247 ft

EV on barrels

102.5

EV on hard-hit

100.5

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

73.0%

O-Contact%

73.0%

Z-Contact%

89.3%

Contact%

83.2%

SwStr%

8.8%

CSW%

20.9%

In-zone%

44.8%

1st-pitch swing%

41.3%

2-strike K%

32.3%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.364

7d K%

16.7%

7d Barrel%

5.3%

7d Whiff%

11.6%

14d xwOBA(con)

.315

14d K%

12.2%

14d Barrel%

5.9%

30d xwOBA(con)

.305

30d K%

10.1%

30d Barrel%

3.7%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.335

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.319

Behind xwOBA(con)

.379

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.340

Ahead Whiff%

10.3%

2-strike Whiff%

17.6%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.329

RISP

.329

Loaded

.338

High leverage

.305

Clutch

.349

Innings 1-3

.348

Innings 4-6

.295

Innings 7+

.376

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Josh Naylor OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners · Jun 21, 2026 · +174

LOSS

Josh Naylor OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners · Jun 20, 2026 · +165

WIN

Browse the full archive →