MLB · AL Central

Matt Vierling

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Detroit TigersOFBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerBelow avg

The read

League-average power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Matt Vierling has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
20%47%45%
Over 1.5▲ hot
20%13%12%
Over 2.5
0%3%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%3%5%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
20%27%26%
Over 2.5
10%13%13%
Over 3.5
10%7%9%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.205

OBP

.253

SLG

.332

OPS

.586

17%

Last 10: 6-for-28 (.214) · 0 HR · 6 K · 0 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 292 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.337

Avg Exit V

87.7 mph

Barrel %

4.9%

Hard-Hit %

41.7%

Chase %

32.4%

Whiff %

16.1%

K %

16.8%

BB %

6.5%

Where he hits it

35%

Pull

36%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 16% of BIP · 89.8 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.766OPS119 PA

vs RHP.466OPS173 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · last 30 days · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Changeup	0	—	—	—	50.0%	—	—	—	—	—
Curveball	0	—	—	—	0.0%	—	—	—	—	—
Cutter	2	.500	.500	.532	33.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	76.7 mph	23.5°
Four-seam	4	.250	.750	.417	25.0%	25.0%	66.7%	33.3%	100.1 mph	22.3°
Slider	11	.091	.091	.183	38.9%	36.4%	42.9%	0.0%	80.4 mph	15.6°
Sinker	11	.200	.200	.349	6.3%	9.1%	30.0%	0.0%	89.1 mph	21.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.315

xSLG

.467

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

111.3

EV90

103.0

Launch angle

17.6°

Sweet-spot%

36.8%

Avg distance

311 ft

EV on barrels

101.6

EV on hard-hit

100.6

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

63.4%

O-Contact%

69.9%

Z-Contact%

90.9%

Contact%

83.9%

SwStr%

7.7%

CSW%

27.5%

In-zone%

50.5%

1st-pitch swing%

18.8%

2-strike K%

33.1%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.372

7d K%

15.4%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

19.1%

14d xwOBA(con)

.421

14d K%

20.7%

14d Barrel%

4.3%

30d xwOBA(con)

.370

30d K%

19.3%

30d Barrel%

2.3%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.318

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.310

Behind xwOBA(con)

.362

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.338

Ahead Whiff%

15.1%

2-strike Whiff%

16.1%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.267

RISP

.269

Loaded

.150

High leverage

.259

Clutch

.289

Innings 1-3

.323

Innings 4-6

.336

Innings 7+

.353

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Matt Vierling OVER 0.5 Hits

Athletics vs Detroit Tigers · Jul 7, 2026 · -130

WIN

Matt Vierling OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros · Jun 17, 2026 · +185

LOSS

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.